{ "abstract": "Global changes are leading to widespread species redistribution. Comprehensive assessments of range shift dynamics and their drivers are difficult, partly due to the variation in range shift detection over space and taxa. Here we compile documented range shift records for 1,758 butterfly species from 105 countries and territories, representing ~10% of the known diversity of these insects. Most species (80%) experienced range expansions, and most range shifts (79%) were associated with climate change and extreme weather events. A substantial proportion of species in our dataset contracted their ranges (27%) or shifted along elevational gradients (22%). We report widespread horizontal range expansions and contractions across tropical countries, with less evidence for elevational range shifts. We show that a clearer picture of range shift dynamics emerged only through the combination of different types of data, with expert assessments and non-English studies alleviating potential biases. Our findings of climate-driven range shifts call for concerted efforts to improve inclusive data monitoring and conservation efforts, especially for tropical countries, where human-induced land-use changes exert additional critical pressure.", "abstract_shown": true, "affiliations": [ "School of Biological Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. shawan.chowdhury@monash.edu", "Centre for Evolutionary Biology, School of Biological Sciences, The University of Western Australia, Perth, Western Australia, Australia", "School of Biological Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia", "Department of Biology, University of Turku, Turku, Finland", "Department of Organismal and Evolutionary Biology, Faculty of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland", "Center for Biodiversity and Global Change, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA", "Conservation Ecology, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Marburg, Germany", "Ecology and Evolution, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA", "Department of Zoology, Entomology and Fisheries Sciences, Makerere University Kampala, Kampala, Uganda", "Graduate Program in Neotropical Biodiversity, Institute of Biosciences, Federal University of the State of Rio de Janeiro, UNIRIO, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil", "Centre for Biodiversity and Conservation Science, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia", "School of the Environment, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia", "Independent researcher, Kópháza, Hungary", "Institute of Biological Sciences, University of the Philippines Los Baños, Laguna, the Philippines", "Institute of Global Innovation Research, Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology, Fuchu, Japan", "Daugavpils University, Institute of Life Sciences and Technology, Daugavpils, Latvia", "Department of Ecology, Faculty of Science, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic", "Natural History Museum of Los Angeles County, Los Angeles, CA, USA", "Institute of Nature Conservation, Polish Academy of Sciences, Kraków, Poland", "School of Biological Sciences, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China", "Department of Life Science and Systems Biology, University of Turin, Turin, Italy", "UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, UK", "Australian National Insect Collection, National Research Collections Australia, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia", "Division of Ecology and Evolution, Research School of Biology, The Australian National University, Acton, Australian Capital Territory, Australia", "Andorra Research and Innovation, Sant Julià de Lòria, Andorra", "Mokpo National University, Muan, South Korea", "Taiwan Biodiversity Research Institute, Ministry of Agriculture, Jiji Town, Taiwan", "Departamento de Ecología y Recursos Naturales, Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, Mexico", "African Butterfly Research Institute, Nairobi, Kenya", "Department of Biology, University of Florence, Florence, Italy", "Department of Biodiversity Sciences, University of Turku, Turku, Finland", "Department of Zoology, Faculty of Natural Sciences, University of Jos, Jos, Nigeria", "Turku Collegium for Science, Medicine and Technology, University of Turku, Turku, Finland", "Büro Geyer und Dolek, Wörthsee, Germany", "Department of Integrative Biology, University of Guelph, Guelph, Ontario, Canada", "School of Life Sciences and Technology, Institut Teknologi Bandung, Bandung, Indonesia", "IFM Biology, Conservation Ecology Group, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden", "Laboratório de Ecologia e Sistemática de Borboletas, Departamento de Biologia Animal, Instituto de Biologia, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil", "Museu de Diversidade Biológica, Instituto de Biologia, Universidade Estadual de Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil", "International Max Planck Research School on Earth System Modelling, Hamburg, Germany" ], "article_type": null, "arxiv": null, "author_total": 95, "authors": [ { "affs": [ 0 ], "name": "Shawan Chowdhury", "orcid": "0000-0003-2936-5786" }, { "affs": [ 1, 2 ], "name": "Upama Aich", "orcid": "0000-0003-2576-0922" }, { "affs": [ 3, 4 ], "name": "Laura H. Antão", "orcid": "0000-0001-6612-9366" }, { "affs": [ 5, 6, 7 ], "name": "Stefan Pinkert", "orcid": "0000-0002-8348-2337" }, { "affs": [ 8 ], "name": "Perpetra Akite", "orcid": "0000-0002-0302-1822" }, { "affs": [ 9 ], "name": "Gilberto Almeira", "orcid": "0000-0003-2146-3023" }, { "affs": [ 10, 11 ], "name": "Tatsuya Amano", "orcid": "0000-0001-6576-3410" }, { "affs": [ 12 ], "name": "Andras Ambrus" }, { "affs": [ 13 ], "name": "Jade Aster T. Badon", "orcid": "0000-0002-0529-0778" }, { "affs": [ 14 ], "name": "Seung‐Yun Baek", "orcid": "0009-0000-9575-3395" }, { "affs": [ 15 ], "name": "Maksims Balalaikins", "orcid": "0000-0003-4143-1061" }, { "affs": [ 16, 4 ], "name": "Michal Barták", "orcid": "0000-0002-1824-0112" }, { "affs": [ 17 ], "name": "Vijay Barve", "orcid": "0000-0002-4852-2567" }, { "affs": [ 18 ], "name": "Michał Bełcik", "orcid": "0000-0001-8901-2064" }, { "affs": [ 19 ], "name": "Timothy C. Bonebrake", "orcid": "0000-0001-9999-2254" }, { "affs": [ 20 ], "name": "Simona Bonelli", "orcid": "0000-0001-5185-8136" }, { "affs": [ 21 ], "name": "Diana E. Bowler", "orcid": "0000-0002-7775-1668" }, { "affs": [ 22, 23 ], "name": "Michael F. Braby", "orcid": "0000-0002-5438-587X" }, { "affs": [ 24 ], "name": "Roger Caritg" }, { "affs": [ 25 ], "name": "Sei‐Woong Choi", "orcid": "0000-0001-6326-399X" }, { "affs": [ 26 ], "name": "Wen-Chen Chu", "orcid": "0000-0002-5401-4534" }, { "affs": [ 27 ], "name": "Eloisa Clain" }, { "affs": [ 28 ], "name": "Steve C. Collins", "orcid": "0000-0001-8018-5997" }, { "affs": [ 27 ], "name": "Johnattan Hernández‐Cumplido", "orcid": "0000-0001-8148-2598" }, { "affs": [ 29 ], "name": "Leonardo Dapporto", "orcid": "0000-0001-7129-4526" }, { "affs": [ 30, 31, 32 ], "name": "Gideon Gywa Deme", "orcid": "0000-0002-0537-6707" }, { "affs": [ 33 ], "name": "Matthias Dolek", "orcid": "0000-0003-3778-9482" }, { "affs": [ 34 ], "name": "Aleksandra J. Dolezal", "orcid": "0000-0002-1388-3610" }, { "affs": [ 35 ], "name": "Fahmi Idris Firdaus", "orcid": "0000-0001-6073-7643" }, { "affs": [ 36 ], "name": "Markus Franzén", "orcid": "0000-0001-8022-5004" }, { "affs": [ 37, 38 ], "name": "André Victor Lucci Freitas", "orcid": "0000-0002-5763-4990" }, { "affs": [ 10, 11 ], "name": "Richard A. Fuller", "orcid": "0000-0001-9468-9678" }, { "affs": [ 39 ], "name": "Luisa Gensch", "orcid": "0009-0001-3435-2667" }, { "name": "Eliza Grames", "orcid": "0000-0003-1743-6815" }, { "name": "Elia Guariento", "orcid": "0000-0003-1060-9816" }, { "name": "Bryan T Haywood" }, { "name": "Shiran Hershcovich" }, { "name": "Kerstin Jantke", "orcid": "0000-0002-3126-3888" }, { "name": "Eddie John", "orcid": "0009-0009-0179-0124" }, { "name": "Henrik Kalivoda" }, { "name": "Azadeh Karimi", "orcid": "0000-0002-0892-6647" }, { "name": "Ryosuke Katayose", "orcid": "0000-0001-9621-916X" }, { "name": "Akito Y. Kawahara", "orcid": "0000-0002-3724-4610" }, { "name": "Sujan Khanal" }, { "name": "Krushnamegh K. Kunte", "orcid": "0000-0002-3860-6118" }, { "name": "Lionel L’Hoste", "orcid": "0000-0003-0239-9468" }, { "affs": [ 18 ], "name": "Magdalena Lidia Lenda", "orcid": "0000-0001-7824-7220" }, { "name": "Jorge L. León‐Cortés", "orcid": "0000-0003-1706-5620" }, { "name": "Da‐Li Lin", "orcid": "0000-0003-0930-2374" }, { "affs": [ 19 ], "name": "Yuet Fung Ling", "orcid": "0000-0002-3038-0521" }, { "affs": [ 9 ], "name": "Maria Lúcia Lorini", "orcid": "0000-0002-7783-093X" }, { "name": "Dirk Maes", "orcid": "0000-0002-7947-3788" }, { "name": "Dino J. Martins", "orcid": "0000-0003-1581-1642" }, { "name": "Thomas Merckx", "orcid": "0000-0002-6195-3302" }, { "name": "Xavier Mestdagh", "orcid": "0000-0001-7270-8997" }, { "name": "Yeray Monasterio", "orcid": "0000-0001-7611-5961" }, { "name": "Akihiro Nakamura", "orcid": "0000-0001-7349-5102" }, { "name": "Rachel Rui Ying Oh", "orcid": "0000-0003-2716-7727" }, { "name": "LARS B. PETTERSSON", "orcid": "0000-0001-5745-508X" }, { "name": "Jeffrey S. Pippen", "orcid": "0009-0005-3099-4995" } ], "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/04mngxw4n56fr.bib", "cited_by": 8, "doi": "10.1038/s41559-026-03117-y", "fulltext_url": null, "id": "04mngxw4n56fr", "issns": [ "2397-334X" ], "landing_url": "https://u-picardie.hal.science/hal-05716990v1", "language": "en", "licence": "CC-BY-4.0", "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0", "licence_source": "article", "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "metadata_licence": null, "native_subjects": [ [ "hal", "0.sde" ], [ "openalex", "2302|Species Distribution and Climate Change" ] ], "openalex": "W4414671773", "pdf_url": "https://u-picardie.hal.science/hal-05716990/document", "pmcid": "PMC13642037", "pmid": "42557340", "published": "2026-08-05", "publisher": "Nature", "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/04mngxw4n56fr.ris", "sources": [ { "first_seen": "2026-10-30T12:17:56Z", "native_id": "hal-05716990", "source": "hal", "url": "https://u-picardie.hal.science/hal-05716990v1" }, { "first_seen": "2026-10-30T13:26:58Z", "native_id": "W4414671773", "source": "openalex", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1038/s41559-026-03117-y" } ], "subjects": [ { "field": "earth", "origin": "hal:0.sde", "subfield": "environmental-science" } ], "title": "Extensive climate-induced range shifts in butterflies across the globe", "title_text": "Extensive climate-induced range shifts in butterflies across the globe", "type": "peer-reviewed", "updated_at": "2026-11-09T13:21:20Z", "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/04mngxw4n56fr", "venue": "Nature Ecology & Evolution", "versions": [] }