{ "abstract": "Fire is a global phenomenon and a key Earth system process. Extreme fire events have increased in recent years, and fire frequency and intensity are projected to rise across most regions and biomes, posing substantial challenges for ecosystems, the carbon cycle, and society. The Fire Model Intercomparison Project (FireMIP), launched in 2014, has contributed to advancing global fire modeling in Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) and improving understanding of fire's local drivers and local impacts on vegetation and land carbon budgets through land offline (i.e., uncoupled from the atmosphere) simulations. We now bring FireMIP into Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 7 (CMIP7) to: (1) evaluate fire simulations in state-of-the-art fully coupled Earth system models (ESMs); (2) assess fire regime changes in the past, present, and future, and identify their primary natural and anthropogenic forcings and causal pathways within the Earth system, including the associated uncertainties; and (3) quantify the impacts of fires and fire changes on climate, ecosystems, and society across Earth system components, regions, and timescales, and elucidate the underlying mechanisms. FireMIP in CMIP7 will advance the fire and fire-related modeling in fully coupled ESMs, and provide a quantitative, detailed, and process-based understanding of fire's role in the Earth system by using models that incorporate critical climate feedbacks and multi-model, multi-initial-condition, and CMIP7 multi-scenario ensembles. This paper presents the motivation, scientific questions, experimental design and its rationale, model inputs and outputs, and the analysis framework for FireMIP in CMIP7, providing guidance for Earth system modeling teams conducting simulations and informing communities studying fire, climate change, and climate solutions.", "abstract_shown": true, "affiliations": [ "State Key Laboratory of Earth System Numerical Modeling and Application, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China", "NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA", "Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA, USA", "Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, UK", "University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA", "China Meteorological Administration–Nanjing University Joint Laboratory for Climate Prediction Studies, and Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Climate Change, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China", "Atmosphere and Climate, The Climate and Environmental Research Institute NILU, Kjeller, Norway", "Leverhulme Centre for Wildfires, Environment and Society, Department of Physics, Imperial College London, London, UK", "Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway", "Atmospheric, Climate, and Earth Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA", "Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden", "Karen Clark & Company, Boston, MA, USA", "University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China", "School of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Chania, Greece", "Department of Geography, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA" ], "article_type": null, "arxiv": null, "author_total": 18, "authors": [ { "affs": [ 0 ], "name": "Fang Li", "orcid": "0000-0002-3686-2257" }, { "affs": [ 1 ], "name": "David M. Lawrence", "orcid": "0000-0002-2968-3023" }, { "affs": [ 2 ], "name": "Brendan M. Rogers", "orcid": "0000-0001-6711-8466" }, { "affs": [ 3 ], "name": "Chantelle Burton", "orcid": "0000-0003-0201-5727" }, { "affs": [ 4 ], "name": "Huilin Huang", "orcid": "0000-0002-7328-6738" }, { "affs": [ 5 ], "name": "Yiquan Jiang", "orcid": "0000-0001-6761-7281" }, { "affs": [ 6 ], "name": "Johannes W. Kaiser", "orcid": "0000-0003-3696-9123" }, { "affs": [ 7 ], "name": "Matthew R. Kasoar", "orcid": "0000-0001-5571-8843" }, { "affs": [ 8 ], "name": "Hanna Lee", "orcid": "0000-0002-2003-4377" }, { "affs": [ 9 ], "name": "Ruby Leung", "orcid": "0000-0002-3221-9467" }, { "affs": [ 10 ], "name": "Lars Nieradzik", "orcid": "0000-0002-9562-5235" }, { "affs": [ 0 ], "name": "Aihui Wang", "orcid": "0000-0002-4609-8774" }, { "affs": [ 11 ], "name": "D. S. Ward", "orcid": "0000-0003-0305-5851" }, { "affs": [ 0, 12 ], "name": "Ligeer Ce", "orcid": "0009-0009-0875-1064" }, { "affs": [ 0, 12 ], "name": "Y. Li" }, { "affs": [ 0 ], "name": "Zhongda Lin", "orcid": "0000-0002-1126-1121" }, { "affs": [ 6, 13 ], "name": "Apostolos Voulgarakis", "orcid": "0000-0002-6656-4437" }, { "affs": [ 14 ], "name": "Yongkang Xue", "orcid": "0000-0002-6169-9631" } ], "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/0egxsj0v5asf3.bib", "cited_by": 6, "doi": "10.5194/gmd-19-3989-2026", "fulltext_url": null, "id": "0egxsj0v5asf3", "issns": [ "1991-959X", "1991-9603" ], "landing_url": "https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-3989-2026", "language": "en", "licence": "CC-BY", "licence_label": "CC BY", "licence_source": "journal", "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "metadata_licence": null, "native_subjects": [ [ "openalex", "2306|Fire effects on ecosystems" ] ], "openalex": "W7161265790", "pdf_url": "https://gmd.copernicus.org/articles/19/3989/2026/gmd-19-3989-2026.pdf", "pmcid": null, "pmid": null, "published": "2026-05-15", "publisher": "Copernicus Publications", "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/0egxsj0v5asf3.ris", "sources": [ { "first_seen": "2026-11-05T13:21:11Z", "native_id": "W7161265790", "source": "openalex", "url": "https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-3989-2026" } ], "subjects": [ { "field": "earth", "origin": "openalex:2306|Fire effects on ecosystems", "subfield": "climate" } ], "title": "The Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP) for CMIP7", "title_text": "The Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP) for CMIP7", "type": "peer-reviewed", "updated_at": "2026-11-09T13:21:21Z", "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/0egxsj0v5asf3", "venue": "Geoscientific model development", "versions": [] }