{
  "abstract": "IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = DISTRIBUTION — improves win rate from 32.5% to 37.3% (+4.7pp, n=110)\n\nSAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the DISTRIBUTION-phase filter would have blocked the three wkjudas entries (GBPUSD LONG, USDJPY SHORT, NZDUSD SHORT) and the two rizzy5m entries from 2026-08-27 (NZDUSD SHORT, XAUUSD SHORT) — all five were losses or still open. The two rizzy5m wins (GBPUSD SHORT 08-26, NZDUSD SHORT 09-02) would have been preserved, as would the AUDUSD SHORT rizzy7m loss (likely not in DISTRIBUTION). Net effect on this window: removing 5 losing/open trades while keeping 2 wins and 1 loss shifts the live record from 2W/5L/3open to 2W/1L/2open — a clear win-rate improvement, though PnL delta is modest given the small sample.\n\nOVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a +4.7pp win-rate gain on n=110 suggests a real but fragile edge — likely driven by avoiding chop during distribution phases where mean-reversio\n\nAuthor: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher, United Kingdom"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Andrew Stewart Caldin"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/168w9m1k76f1x.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23430963",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "168w9m1k76f1x",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23430963",
  "language": "eng",
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [],
  "openalex": null,
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-17",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/168w9m1k76f1x.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-10-31T12:22:08Z",
      "native_id": "23430963",
      "source": "zenodo",
      "url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23430963"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [],
  "title": "LAB #4145 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = DISTRIBUTION — improves win rate from 32.5% to 37.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "title_text": "LAB #4145 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = DISTRIBUTION — improves win rate from 32.5% to 37.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-31T12:22:08Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/168w9m1k76f1x",
  "venue": "Zenodo",
  "versions": []
}