{
  "abstract": "IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 32.3% (+0.8pp, n=1536)\n\nSAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the MANIPULATION-phase filter over the current live window would have removed the three wkjudas trades (GBPUSD LONG, USDJPY SHORT, NZDUSD SHORT) — all three were losses, so the filter would have converted a 4W/3L record into 4W/0L, a +37.5pp swing in win rate on this small sample. However, it would also have removed the two rizzy7m trades that are currently REJECTED/open (AUDUSD LONG, USDCHF LONG) — but those are not yet resolved, so the net immediate effect is strictly positive: +3 losses removed, no wins touched. PnL delta on this window would be roughly +3R (assuming ~1R average loss per removed trade), but the sample is tiny (n=10) and dominated by a single strategy family (wkjudas), so this is not evidence of general efficacy.\n\nOVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a +0.8pp win-r\n\nAuthor: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher, United Kingdom"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Andrew Stewart Caldin"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/19t6ttkw9vd9s.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23526279",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "19t6ttkw9vd9s",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23526279",
  "language": "eng",
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [],
  "openalex": null,
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-21",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/19t6ttkw9vd9s.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-11-04T12:21:49Z",
      "native_id": "23526279",
      "source": "zenodo",
      "url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23526279"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [],
  "title": "LAB #4478 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 32.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "title_text": "LAB #4478 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 32.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-04T12:21:49Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/19t6ttkw9vd9s",
  "venue": "Zenodo",
  "versions": []
}