{
  "abstract": "This study analyzed precipitation and air temperature in the Zhambyl, Almaty, Zhetysu, Abay, and East Kazakhstan regions of Kazakhstan using data from the national meteorological network of the RSE Kazhydromet. The purpose of the study was to reveal the climatic changes and their spatial distribution throughout the study area. A modified Mann–Kendall test and Sen’s Slope estimator were applied to analyze aridity conditions in combination with the drought indices SPEI and Selyaninov hydrothermal coefficient, enabling analysis of the magnitude and statistical significance of trend changes from April to September for the period 1981 to 2023. The magnitude of the observed trends of the mean growing-season temperature increased by 0.211 °C decade−1, while precipitation declined by 2.074 mm decade−1, which indicates a decrease in moisture availability for crops in the southeast and east of Kazakhstan. The results of this study may be of interest to agricultural specialists, ecologists, the Ministry of Emergency Situations, and hydrologists to develop activities aimed at preventing threats and mitigating the effects of climate change in Kazakhstan. The use of the above statistical methods in combination with drought indices is relevant in the context of climate change and worsening food security and can serve as a good indicator for determining when significant changes in climatic parameters occurred, which will be valuable information for making management decisions.",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Physical and Economic Geography Department, Faculty of Natural Sciences, L.N. Gumilyov Eurasian National University, Astana 010008, Kazakhstan",
    "School of Information Technology and Engineering (SITE), Kazakh British Technical University, Almaty 050000, Kazakhstan",
    "Faculty of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, 71 Al-Farabi, Almaty 050040, Kazakhstan",
    "Department of Geological and Environmental Sciences, Western Michigan University, Kalamazoo, MI 49008, USA",
    "International Scientific Complex “Astana”, Astana 010000, Kazakhstan",
    "National Hydrogeological Service Kazhydrogeology, Astana 010000, Kazakhstan",
    "Faculty of Water Resource and Information Technology, Kazakh National Agrarian Research University, Almaty 050000, Kazakhstan"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 10,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0,
        1
      ],
      "name": "Yerbolat Mukanov",
      "orcid": "0009-0003-3132-6388"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        2,
        1
      ],
      "name": "Ranida Arystanova",
      "orcid": "0009-0002-0711-2251"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        3,
        1
      ],
      "name": "Jay Sagin",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-0386-888X"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        4,
        0,
        1
      ],
      "name": "Kanat Samarkhanov",
      "orcid": "0000-0001-9799-8695"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        1
      ],
      "name": "Talgat Usmanov",
      "orcid": "0009-0005-1882-4272"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Saken Baisholanov",
      "orcid": "0000-0001-6616-3994"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        2,
        1
      ],
      "name": "Asset Arystanov",
      "orcid": "0009-0000-0341-5381"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        2,
        1
      ],
      "name": "Asima Koshim",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-3355-3125"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        6,
        1
      ],
      "name": "Baktybek Duisebek",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-2596-4936"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Alua Zhukenova",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-3053-8122"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/1nyxzk96a9dpv.bib",
  "cited_by": 5,
  "doi": "10.3390/agronomy16111097",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "1nyxzk96a9dpv",
  "issns": [
    "2073-4395"
  ],
  "landing_url": "https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16111097",
  "language": "en",
  "licence": "CC-BY",
  "licence_label": "CC BY",
  "licence_source": "journal",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [
    [
      "openalex",
      "2306|Hydrology and Drought Analysis"
    ]
  ],
  "openalex": "W7163054123",
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-05-31",
  "publisher": "Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute",
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/1nyxzk96a9dpv.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-11-05T13:21:11Z",
      "native_id": "W7163054123",
      "source": "openalex",
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy16111097"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [
    {
      "field": "earth",
      "origin": "openalex:2306|Hydrology and Drought Analysis",
      "subfield": "climate"
    }
  ],
  "title": "A Statistical Analysis of Multi-Decadal Trends in Temperature, Precipitation and Drought Indices in Eastern and Southeastern Kazakhstan Between 1981 and 2023",
  "title_text": "A Statistical Analysis of Multi-Decadal Trends in Temperature, Precipitation and Drought Indices in Eastern and Southeastern Kazakhstan Between 1981 and 2023",
  "type": "peer-reviewed",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-09T13:21:21Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/1nyxzk96a9dpv",
  "venue": "Agronomy",
  "versions": []
}