{
  "abstract": "IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 32.6% to 44.9% (+12.3pp, n=136)\n\nSAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the ACCUMULATION-phase filter over the current 10-trade window would have blocked most entries, as the majority (GBPUSD, NZDUSD, AUDUSD, XAUUSD shorts) were initiated during non-accumulation phases (likely distribution or decline). Only the two GBPUSD trades (rizzy5m and wkjudas) might survive if their timestamps align with accumulation, but both are currently open/loss — net effect would be avoiding 6-7 losing/rejected trades, likely flipping the window from roughly 2W/6L to 2W/1L, a PnL improvement of +2-3R. However, the filter would also kill the one clear winner (NZDUSD rizzy5m win) if that phase wasn't accumulation, so the realized delta is uncertain but directionally positive.\n\nOVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3-6 months, a +12.3pp win-rate gain from a single phase filter suggests the\n\nAuthor: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher, United Kingdom"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Andrew Stewart Caldin"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/1vjf0dqfxcwch.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23409774",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "1vjf0dqfxcwch",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23409774",
  "language": "eng",
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [],
  "openalex": null,
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-16",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/1vjf0dqfxcwch.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-10-30T12:18:27Z",
      "native_id": "23409774",
      "source": "zenodo",
      "url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23409774"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [],
  "title": "LAB #4133 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 32.6% to 44.9% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "title_text": "LAB #4133 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 32.6% to 44.9% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-30T12:34:24Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/1vjf0dqfxcwch",
  "venue": "Zenodo",
  "versions": []
}