{
  "abstract": "Predictions of climate-driven marine biodiversity change typically overlook noncommercial and rare taxa, leading to an incomplete and potentially biased understanding of change. We address this gap by quantifying α-, β-, and γ-diversity using Hill numbers consistently across co-occurring phytoplankton, zooplankton, benthos, and fish taxonomic groups. Using Bayesian additive regression trees and extensive survey data, we project climate-driven biodiversity change in the northeast Atlantic until 2100. We show that climate change could redistribute biodiversity both within taxonomic groups, altering the contribution of rare species, and across the food web. Widespread increases in fish and benthos species richness, reflecting poleward migration, often coincided with declines in zooplankton and phytoplankton richness, potentially disrupting energy transfer from lower to higher trophic levels. By identifying areas with high biodiversity across taxonomic groups and predicting how these could change in the future, we provide a framework to support proactive conservation actions to help achieve global biodiversity targets in a changing climate.",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Centre for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science (Cefas), Lowestoft Laboratory, Pakefield Road, Lowestoft, Suffolk NR33 0HT, UK.",
    "School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia (UEA), Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK.",
    "The Marine Biological Association (MBA) The Laboratory, Citadel Hill Plymouth, Devon PL1 2PB, UK.",
    "Norwegian College of Fishery Science, UiT, The Arctic University of Norway, Tromsø, Norway.",
    "Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ), Landsdiep 4, 1797 SZ ‘t Horntje (Texel), Netherlands.",
    "DTU Aqua, National Institute of Aquatic Resources, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark."
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 10,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Elena Couce",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-3945-462X"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Lily Greig",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-1685-5762"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        0,
        1
      ],
      "name": "Georg H. Engelhard",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-7821-7029"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        0,
        1
      ],
      "name": "John K. Pinnegar",
      "orcid": "0000-0001-5061-9520"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Keith M. Cooper",
      "orcid": "0000-0003-0625-6333"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        2
      ],
      "name": "Pierre Hélaouët",
      "orcid": "0000-0001-6102-7379"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        3
      ],
      "name": "Laurene Pecuchet"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        4
      ],
      "name": "Myron A. Peck",
      "orcid": "0000-0001-7423-1854"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Martin Lindegren",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-9185-951X"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Murray S. A. Thompson",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-9567-175X"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/2teka1m5fzya9.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.1126/sciadv.aee7253",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "2teka1m5fzya9",
  "issns": [
    "2375-2548"
  ],
  "landing_url": "https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aee7253",
  "language": null,
  "licence": "CC-BY",
  "licence_label": "CC BY",
  "licence_source": "journal",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [
    [
      "openalex",
      "2306|Marine and fisheries research"
    ]
  ],
  "openalex": "W7220858935",
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-09",
  "publisher": "American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)",
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/2teka1m5fzya9.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-10-30T12:17:41Z",
      "native_id": "10.1126/sciadv.aee7253",
      "source": "crossref",
      "url": "https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aee7253"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [
    {
      "field": "earth",
      "origin": "openalex:2306|Marine and fisheries research",
      "subfield": "climate"
    }
  ],
  "title": "From plankton to fish: 21st-century redistribution of marine biodiversity and the changing role of rare species",
  "title_text": "From plankton to fish: 21st-century redistribution of marine biodiversity and the changing role of rare species",
  "type": "peer-reviewed",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-30T12:17:41Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/2teka1m5fzya9",
  "venue": "Science Advances",
  "versions": []
}