{
  "abstract": "DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: No single rule survives — the ≥6 confirmation filter is a statistical artifact, not a geometric edge. E8 timing already encodes confirmation thresholds via Gods-Clock phase alignment; adding a fixed count filter would distort the FADE polarity entry window and reduce trade frequency without a proven PnL-per-trade gain. EXPECTED IMPACT: Win rate might rise 2–4pp in backtest, but absolute profit likely falls 15–25% due to fewer trades, and the unresolved three trades (USDCHF, EURJPY, AUDUSD) could easily flip the live delta negative if they win. No evidence that filtered-out early entries have worse R-multiple or MAE in live conditions — only a win-rate shift from a small n=871 sample. RISK: Overfitting to a regime with many false early signals; confirmation counts are broker-feed-latency dependent, so live vs backtest parity is unverified; rejecting fast breakouts that never reach 6 confirmations could miss the exact momentum spikes E8 FADE polarity is de\n\nAuthor: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher, United Kingdom"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Andrew Stewart Caldin"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/2xmxk2jwg8rtv.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23610246",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "2xmxk2jwg8rtv",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23610246",
  "language": "eng",
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [],
  "openalex": null,
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-24",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/2xmxk2jwg8rtv.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-11-07T12:21:35Z",
      "native_id": "23610246",
      "source": "zenodo",
      "url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23610246"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [],
  "title": "MODEL ADOPTION #4626: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 6 — improves win rate from 32.2% to 37.3% — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "title_text": "MODEL ADOPTION #4626: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 6 — improves win rate from 32.2% to 37.3% — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-07T12:21:35Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/2xmxk2jwg8rtv",
  "venue": "Zenodo",
  "versions": []
}