{
  "abstract": "IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.6% to 44.2% (+12.6pp, n=138)\n\n**SAME-WINDOW EFFECT:** Applying the ACCUMULATION-phase filter to the current live window would have rejected all trades from 2026-09-01 through 2026-09-02 (wkjudas and early rizzy entries), since those fall outside the filter's defined phase. That removes 3 losses (GBPUSD L, USDJPY L, NZDUSD L) and 2 wins (GBPUSD W, NZDUSD W) from the 2026-09-02 batch, plus the AUDUSD LOSS on 09-02. The remaining 09-03/09-04 trades (EURJPY, USDCAD, AUDUSD, USDCHF) would stay — yielding 2 wins, 1 open/rejected, 1 loss. Net effect: win rate in this small sample improves from 4/8 (50%) to 2/4 (50%) — no real delta, but PnL improves because the removed losses outweigh removed wins. The filter would not have saved the 09-01 losses entirely — it would have avoided them, but also missed the 09-02 wins, so the immediate edge is margina\n\nAuthor: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher, United Kingdom"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Andrew Stewart Caldin"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/38da2vdscrnvn.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23553627",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "38da2vdscrnvn",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23553627",
  "language": "eng",
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [],
  "openalex": null,
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-22",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/38da2vdscrnvn.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-11-05T12:21:20Z",
      "native_id": "23553627",
      "source": "zenodo",
      "url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23553627"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [],
  "title": "LAB #4504 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.6% to 44.2% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "title_text": "LAB #4504 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = ACCUMULATION — improves win rate from 31.6% to 44.2% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-05T12:21:20Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/38da2vdscrnvn",
  "venue": "Zenodo",
  "versions": []
}