{
  "abstract": "Autism spectrum disorder involves differences in social communication, interaction and behavioral flexibility, yet conventional single-response Theory-of-Mind tasks rarely capture the trial-by-trial dynamics of social adaptation. We examined how autistic and non-autistic young people organized recent choice history, how they adjusted it across opponents, and how these patterns related to task performance. Twenty-seven autistic children and adolescents and 24 healthy controls completed the same two-choice hide-and-seek task under social and non-social framing against artificial opponents of graded sophistication. We compared aggregate performance, Bayesian model-based estimates of latent strategy use, and model-free history kernels measuring how current choices depended on recent self-actions and opponent actions. History kernels showed that autistic participants switched away from their previous choice more strongly against every opponent, whereas controls added lag-2 and opponent-coupled structure when the opponent adapted to them and reconfigured their kernels across opponents more. Within the same dataset, replaying participants’ kernels against empirically fitted opponents reconstructed accuracy (r = .86) and the direction of the group difference against the first-order opponent, against which switching provided less benefit than against the zero-order opponent. Against the first-order opponent, controls were more often described by first-order opponent modelling (influence learning) and autistic participants by heuristic policies. These findings suggest that autism-related differences in repeated interaction are expressed in how choice history is organized and reconfigured across opponents, beyond categorical differences in inferred strategies.",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 4,
  "authors": [
    {
      "name": "Tahmineh Godazgar"
    },
    {
      "name": "Rana Ghamari"
    },
    {
      "name": "Abolfazl Nadi"
    },
    {
      "name": "Atiye Sarabi-Jamab"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/4by6mwz5j6265.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.31234/osf.io/mu9cr_v3",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "4by6mwz5j6265",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/mu9cr_v3/",
  "language": null,
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [
    [
      "bepress",
      "Psychiatry"
    ],
    [
      "bepress",
      "Social and Behavioral Sciences"
    ],
    [
      "openalex",
      "2805|Autism Spectrum Disorder Research"
    ]
  ],
  "openalex": "W7221509830",
  "pdf_url": "https://osf.io/mu9cr/download",
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-12",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/4by6mwz5j6265.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-10-30T12:21:18Z",
      "native_id": "mu9cr",
      "source": "osf",
      "url": "https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/mu9cr_v3/"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [
    {
      "field": "medicine",
      "origin": "bepress:Psychiatry",
      "subfield": "psychiatry"
    }
  ],
  "title": "Temporal choice dynamics track opponent-dependent adaptation in autism",
  "title_text": "Temporal choice dynamics track opponent-dependent adaptation in autism",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-30T12:21:18Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/4by6mwz5j6265",
  "venue": "PsyArXiv",
  "versions": []
}