{
  "abstract": "Non-firm connection products can accelerate grid access while reinforcements are delayed, but their planning value depends on evidence supporting the contractual promise. We develop a one-way evidence-to-access framework for calendarized products. Stage A constructs and fixes directional restriction calendars from public residual-load and day-ahead price-timing signals. Stage B audits the submitted calendar and one bounded common repair, tests joint threshold attainability under the shared annual budget, and applies an aggregation-aware Power Transfer Distribution Factor (PTDF) certificate. Stage C treats the resulting ledger as fixed in queue-aware allocation and intervention planning. In the primary policy-package evaluation, the evidence-supported menu returns the same $2.119$~GW allocation as firm-only access, whereas authorizing the uniformly derated fallback raises awards to $6.442$~GW and reduces backlog from $136.076$ to $113.601$~GW-years; all $4.489$~GW of non-firm awards use the fallback. In a target-free matched control, evidence-routed and state-blind fallback menus attain primary objectives equivalent within EUR~1 and return the same accepted applicants, award years, routes, and intervention portfolio. Thus, in the reported testbed, fallback authorization rather than calendar-specific evidence support drives the access-volume effect.",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": "2610.15510",
  "author_total": 3,
  "authors": [
    {
      "name": "Alban Kryeziu"
    },
    {
      "name": "Stuart X. Zhu"
    },
    {
      "name": "Evrim Ursavas"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/4z1n1b8289fqh.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.48550/arxiv.2610.15510",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "4z1n1b8289fqh",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.15510",
  "language": null,
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": "CC0-1.0",
  "native_subjects": [
    [
      "arxiv",
      "math.OC"
    ],
    [
      "openalex",
      "2208|Electric Power System Optimization"
    ]
  ],
  "openalex": "W7221757367",
  "pdf_url": "https://arxiv.org/pdf/2610.15510",
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-11",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/4z1n1b8289fqh.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-10-30T12:29:15Z",
      "native_id": "2610.15510",
      "source": "arxiv",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.15510"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [
    {
      "field": "mathematics",
      "origin": "arxiv:math.OC",
      "subfield": "optimisation-control"
    }
  ],
  "title": "From Product Evidence to Access Rights: Auditing and Routing Non-Firm Grid Connections",
  "title_text": "From Product Evidence to Access Rights: Auditing and Routing Non-Firm Grid Connections",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-30T12:29:15Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/4z1n1b8289fqh",
  "venue": "arXiv",
  "versions": []
}