{
  "abstract": "Fluid antenna receivers can select a service position from partial port observations, but finite historical data leave uncertainty in the covariance used for that decision. We develop deployment-before-use reliability certification for a frozen partial-observation rule. A proper predictive density defines a history-based parameter region. Gaussian covariance envelopes, shared conditional-probability bounds and selector enclosures provide simultaneous risk bounds over continuous parameters and discontinuous port decisions. Separate history-coverage and integration budgets limit erroneous positive certification to 0.05 for a single qualification procedure under the stated stationary model and numerical assumptions. Confidence-set inclusion allows a new independent history to reuse the risk computation with the rule unchanged. In a structured Gaussian example with 32 candidate positions, five noisy probes and target outage 0.001, all 282 risk groups are qualified; the largest upper bound is 0.000999748. A separate coupled comparison gives a current-rule outage interval of $[7.6820,9.1266]\\times10^{-4}$ and resolves lower outage than two observed-port controls using the same historical fit. One independently recalibrated history reuses the certificate without additional risk sampling. Unresolved and adverse-member controls delimit this reuse.",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": "2610.21252",
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "name": "Yuanjun Shen"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/5a42vxfcz80ap.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.48550/arxiv.2610.21252",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "5a42vxfcz80ap",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.21252",
  "language": null,
  "licence": "LicenseRef-arXiv-nonexclusive-1.0",
  "licence_label": "arXiv licence",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
  "metadata_licence": "CC0-1.0",
  "native_subjects": [
    [
      "arxiv",
      "cs.IT"
    ],
    [
      "arxiv",
      "eess.SP"
    ],
    [
      "arxiv",
      "math.IT"
    ],
    [
      "arxiv",
      "stat.AP"
    ],
    [
      "openalex",
      "2202|Antenna Design and Analysis"
    ]
  ],
  "openalex": "W7222650887",
  "pdf_url": "https://arxiv.org/pdf/2610.21252",
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-15",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/5a42vxfcz80ap.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-10-30T12:29:54Z",
      "native_id": "2610.21252",
      "source": "arxiv",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.21252"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [
    {
      "field": "mathematics",
      "origin": "arxiv:stat.AP",
      "subfield": "statistics"
    }
  ],
  "title": "Finite-History Outage Certification for Partially Observed Fluid Antenna Receivers",
  "title_text": "Finite-History Outage Certification for Partially Observed Fluid Antenna Receivers",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-30T12:30:00Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/5a42vxfcz80ap",
  "venue": "arXiv",
  "versions": []
}