{
  "abstract": "DECISION: REJECT ELEMENT: No single rule survives — the 6-confirmation filter is a statistical artifact, not an E8-geometry-compatible edge. EXPECTED IMPACT: +0.0pp win-rate in live conditions; likely negative profit due to 10–20% trade-frequency loss without proven R-multiple gain. The +4.0pp backtest is overfit to a 922-trade sample and ignores that filtered trades may have larger average losses when they fail (early breakouts often have tighter stops). RISK: Filter delays entries into worse prices on fast rizzy moves, systematically capping TP2 capture on trending days; also removes low-confirmation winners that currently contribute to absolute PnL. The three rejected open trades are unresolved — citing them as avoided drawdown is survivorship bias. TEST: Must pass a 30-day shadow replay on the exact live signal stream (rizzy5m/7m, wkjudas) with 200+ filtered vs 200+ unfiltered trades, requiring ≥3pp win-rate improvement AND ≥0.0R average R-multiple advantage AND no increase\n\nAuthor: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher, United Kingdom"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Andrew Stewart Caldin"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/5ft4je65pm81x.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23587191",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "5ft4je65pm81x",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23587191",
  "language": "eng",
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [],
  "openalex": null,
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-23",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/5ft4je65pm81x.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-11-06T12:21:51Z",
      "native_id": "23587191",
      "source": "zenodo",
      "url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23587191"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [],
  "title": "MODEL ADOPTION #4600: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 6 — improves win rate from 31.5% to 35.6% — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "title_text": "MODEL ADOPTION #4600: REJECT — LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Min confirmations >= 6 — improves win rate from 31.5% to 35.6% — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-06T12:21:51Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/5ft4je65pm81x",
  "venue": "Zenodo",
  "versions": []
}