{
  "abstract": "IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: NZDUSD LONG @ NY_OPEN with 6 conf — improves win rate from 31.5% to 85.7% (+54.2pp, n=28)\n\nSAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Over the current live window, the filter would have blocked the NZDUSD SHORT entries (rizzy5m at 0.58252 and wkjudas at 0.59214) — both were wins, so applying a LONG-only filter would have removed two profitable trades. It would also have blocked the AUDUSD LONG (rizzy7m, rejected/open) and possibly the GBPUSD LONG (wkjudas, loss), but no NZDUSD LONG existed in this window to benefit from the filter. Net effect: the filter would have removed 2 wins and 1 loss, reducing total PnL slightly (win rate would drop from ~5/8 to ~3/6 in this small sample), contradicting the backtest's direction.\n\nOVER-TIME PROJECTION: The claimed +54.2pp win-rate improvement on n=28 is statistically fragile — a 95% confidence interval around 85.7% spans roughly 67–96%, and the baseline of 31.5% likely comes from a di\n\nAuthor: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher, United Kingdom"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Andrew Stewart Caldin"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/5jgjzhxzsh0kp.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23490934",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "5jgjzhxzsh0kp",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23490934",
  "language": "eng",
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [],
  "openalex": null,
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-20",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/5jgjzhxzsh0kp.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-11-03T12:21:23Z",
      "native_id": "23490934",
      "source": "zenodo",
      "url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23490934"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [],
  "title": "LAB #4439 HARMFUL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: NZDUSD LONG @ NY_OPEN with 6 conf — improves win rate from 31.5% to 85.7 — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "title_text": "LAB #4439 HARMFUL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: NZDUSD LONG @ NY_OPEN with 6 conf — improves win rate from 31.5% to 85.7 — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-03T12:21:23Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/5jgjzhxzsh0kp",
  "venue": "Zenodo",
  "versions": []
}