{
  "abstract": "A polycentric commons in which one jurisdiction's industrial pollution flows downwind into its neighbours raises a governance question usually framed as which lever — a cap, a levy, a fine. Using the BDPD platform on a Bardi/Seneca three-variable engine (resource R, capital C, pollution P), we show the binding axis is not the lever but the trigger signal. Pollution is a lagging tail of the industrial boom: a regulator reacting to it is structurally too late, and the downwind victim is not saved. Arming the same cap on the capital stock — a leading, player-visible indicator — prevents the cascade AND rescues the emitter from its own Seneca cliff. A structural OFAT robustness sweep confirms the claims hold across the model's main parameters; the full win-win holds up to integration step dt ≤ 3.0.",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Roberto Brunelli",
      "orcid": "0009-0006-7785-7506"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/754721r2ze7y4.bib",
  "cited_by": 6,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.20680200",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "754721r2ze7y4",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20680200",
  "language": "en",
  "licence": "CC-BY",
  "licence_label": "CC BY",
  "licence_source": "journal",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [
    [
      "openalex",
      "2308|Sustainable Development and Environmental Management"
    ]
  ],
  "openalex": "W7164747676",
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-06-13",
  "publisher": "European Organization for Nuclear Research",
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/754721r2ze7y4.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-10-30T13:26:58Z",
      "native_id": "W7164747676",
      "source": "openalex",
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20680200"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [
    {
      "field": "earth",
      "origin": "openalex:2308|Sustainable Development and Environmental Management",
      "subfield": "environmental-science"
    }
  ],
  "title": "BDPD³ — Governing the Signal, Not the Symptom: Leading-Indicator Regulation Prevents the Seneca Cascade in a Polycentric Commons",
  "title_text": "BDPD³ — Governing the Signal, Not the Symptom: Leading-Indicator Regulation Prevents the Seneca Cascade in a Polycentric Commons",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-09T13:21:21Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/754721r2ze7y4",
  "venue": "Zenodo (CERN European Organization for Nuclear Research)",
  "versions": []
}