{
  "abstract": "IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = DISTRIBUTION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 36.3% (+4.8pp, n=113)\n\nSAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the DISTRIBUTION-phase filter would have blocked the three wkjudas trades (GBPUSD LONG, USDJPY SHORT, NZDUSD SHORT) — all closed as LOSSES — and likely also the AUDUSD SHORT via rizzy7m (closed LOSS). That removes 4 losing trades from a window of 10, leaving 3 wins and 3 losses among the remaining rizzy signals. Win rate improves from 50% (3/6 closed) to 100% (3/3 closed) on the filtered set, but the sample is tiny and the two REJECTED/open trades (EURJPY SHORT, AUDUSD LONG) would remain unfiltered — so the live PnL delta is positive but not statistically meaningful.\n\nOVER-TIME PROJECTION: Over 3–6 months, a DISTRIBUTION-phase filter would likely reduce trade frequency by ~30–40% (since distribution phases are less common than accumulation/markup in trending regimes). The backtest gain\n\nAuthor: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher, United Kingdom"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Andrew Stewart Caldin"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/8c42mddb3dey0.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23526277",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "8c42mddb3dey0",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23526277",
  "language": "eng",
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [],
  "openalex": null,
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-21",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/8c42mddb3dey0.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-11-04T12:21:49Z",
      "native_id": "23526277",
      "source": "zenodo",
      "url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23526277"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [],
  "title": "LAB #4479 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = DISTRIBUTION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 36.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "title_text": "LAB #4479 PROMISING: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = DISTRIBUTION — improves win rate from 31.5% to 36.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-04T12:21:49Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/8c42mddb3dey0",
  "venue": "Zenodo",
  "versions": []
}