{
  "abstract": "Cities need to anticipate where energy-price shocks could intensify hardship beyond established hotspots. How income distributions and fuel-price balances jointly shape this hidden exposure remains unclear. Here we address this gap by stress-testing nearly one million properties in six English local authorities, combining required-energy costs for existing housing with modelled local income distributions. Under gas-led crisis prices, 41% of neighbourhoods in the highest local exposure quarter lie outside the highest official fuel-poverty quarter. Electricity-led stress changes this hidden geography: when electricity unit prices alone triple from 2021, comparable to the unmitigated late-2022 cap increase, 38% of the resulting hidden-exposure group are absent from the crisis-based group. Entering neighbourhoods have newer, more efficient housing, more flats and greater electricity dependence than retained areas. Crisis preparedness should extend household protection beyond current hardship hotspots, using fuel-specific stress tests to anticipate support needs as fuel prices and heating systems change.",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": "2610.24388",
  "author_total": 5,
  "authors": [
    {
      "name": "Yunfei Bai"
    },
    {
      "name": "Aaron Tesfa Tsion"
    },
    {
      "name": "Raúl Rosales"
    },
    {
      "name": "Barbara Shollock"
    },
    {
      "name": "Wei He"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/977qvx7epe7xf.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.48550/arxiv.2610.24388",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "977qvx7epe7xf",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.24388",
  "language": null,
  "licence": "LicenseRef-arXiv-nonexclusive-1.0",
  "licence_label": "arXiv licence",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "http://arxiv.org/licenses/nonexclusive-distrib/1.0/",
  "metadata_licence": "CC0-1.0",
  "native_subjects": [
    [
      "arxiv",
      "physics.soc-ph"
    ],
    [
      "openalex",
      "2310|Energy and Environment Impacts"
    ]
  ],
  "openalex": "W7223070252",
  "pdf_url": "https://arxiv.org/pdf/2610.24388",
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-17",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/977qvx7epe7xf.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-10-30T12:30:52Z",
      "native_id": "2610.24388",
      "source": "arxiv",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.24388"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [
    {
      "field": "physics",
      "origin": "arxiv:physics.soc-ph",
      "subfield": "statistical-nonlinear"
    }
  ],
  "title": "Hidden urban exposure to energy-price shocks: spreading burdens and shifting hotspots",
  "title_text": "Hidden urban exposure to energy-price shocks: spreading burdens and shifting hotspots",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-30T12:33:41Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/977qvx7epe7xf",
  "venue": "arXiv",
  "versions": []
}