{ "abstract": "Introduction\n\nThe COVID-19 pandemic disrupted labor markets in Latin America, a region characterized by high informality, socioeconomic inequality, and uneven social protection. Shortly afterward, the Russia-Ukraine war generated global uncertainty regarding inflation, commodity prices, supply chains, and economic stability. However, the extent to which geographically distant armed conflicts are perceived as potential labor-related threats by workers in structurally vulnerable regions remains insufficiently understood.Objective\n\nTo identify sociodemographic factors associated with self-reported high anticipatory perceived labor vulnerability related to the Russia-Ukraine war among workers in Latin America.Methodology\n\nA cross-sectional, analytical, multicenter secondary analysis was conducted among workers in Latin American countries during the first weeks of the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Participants were asked about their perceptions of the potential impact of that conflict on their work, reflecting an anticipatory and perception-based outcome rather than direct war exposure or objectively measured labor-market change. High anticipatory perceived labor vulnerability was defined as reporting \"quite a lot\" or \"a lot\" on a five-category perception item. Descriptive and analytical statistics were performed.Results\n\nAmong 1,118 workers, 25.2% perceived quite a lot of labor-related impact from the Russia-Ukraine war, and 34.6% perceived a lot of impact, corresponding to 59.8% of the analytical sample being classified as having high anticipatory perceived labor vulnerability. Regarding work expectations, 33.3% anticipated a decrease in work, 27.5% expected work to remain the same, 25.9% reported that they could lose their job, and 13.3% anticipated an increase in work. A total of 62.0% anticipated that salaries would decrease for most workers. In the main adjusted model, male sex was associated with a lower prevalence of high anticipatory perceived labor vulnerability (aPR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.69-0.85; p < 0.001). Age and country of residence were not independently associated with the outcome.Conclusion\n\nA high proportion of surveyed workers reported anticipatory perceived labor vulnerability related to the Russia-Ukraine war. The most consistent sociodemographic association was observed for sex. These findings should not be interpreted as evidence of objective labor-market effects, but as an exploratory assessment of subjective labor-related risk appraisal during an early period of geopolitical uncertainty.", "abstract_shown": true, "affiliations": [ "Universidad de Huánuco., Huánuco, Perú.", "Universidad Privada Antenor Orrego, Piura, Trujillo, Peru.", "Hospital de la Amistad Perú Corea Santa Rosa II-2, Piura, Peru.", "Dirección Provincial de Salud de Loja, Ministerio de Salud Pública, Loja, Ecuador.", "Asociación Médica de Investigación y Servicios en Salud, Lima, Peru.", "Escuela de Posgrado, Universidad Internacional Iberoamericana, Campeche, Mexico.", "University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada.", "Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, Tunja, Colombia.", "Universidad Pedagógica y Tecnológica de Colombia, Tunja, Colombia. acamilovega@gmail.com.", "Fundación Santa Fe de Bogotá, Bogotá, Colombia. acamilovega@gmail.com." ], "article_type": "research article", "arxiv": null, "author_total": 8, "authors": [ { "affs": [ 0 ], "name": "Christian R Mejia", "orcid": "0000-0002-5940-7281" }, { "affs": [ 1, 2 ], "name": "Victor Serna-Alarcón", "orcid": "0000-0002-9803-6217" }, { "affs": [ 3 ], "name": "Jamil Cedillo-Balcázar", "orcid": "0000-0003-1468-0628" }, { "affs": [ 4 ], "name": "Scherlli E Chamorro-Espinoza", "orcid": "0000-0003-1412-3872" }, { "affs": [ 5 ], "name": "Jaime A Yáñez", "orcid": "0000-0002-9713-1829" }, { "affs": [ 6 ], "name": "Neal M Davies", "orcid": "0000-0002-7050-1471" }, { "affs": [ 7 ], "name": "Leonel Vega-Perez", "orcid": "0000-0001-5544-4213" }, { "affs": [ 8, 9 ], "name": "Camilo Vega-Useche", "orcid": "0000-0002-7064-1765" } ], "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/9hw076k5tsrnw.bib", "cited_by": 0, "doi": "10.1186/s13031-026-00823-z", "fulltext_url": "https://europepmc.org/articles/PMC13721457", "id": "9hw076k5tsrnw", "issns": [ "1752-1505" ], "landing_url": "https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42958332", "language": "eng", "licence": "CC-BY", "licence_label": "CC BY", "licence_source": "article", "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/", "metadata_licence": null, "native_subjects": [ [ "heading", "Research" ], [ "lcc", "RC86-88.9" ], [ "lcc", "RC952-1245" ], [ "openalex", "3600|Employment and Welfare Studies" ] ], "openalex": "W7172091361", "pdf_url": "https://europepmc.org/articles/PMC13721457?pdf=render", "pmcid": "PMC13721457", "pmid": "42958332", "published": "2026-08-01", "publisher": "BMC", "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/9hw076k5tsrnw.ris", "sources": [ { "first_seen": "2026-11-01T00:20:47Z", "native_id": "MED:42958332", "source": "europepmc", "url": "https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42958332" }, { "first_seen": "2026-11-01T14:21:22Z", "native_id": "0064b30624da421c9996c21f7079c1d2", "source": "doaj", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1186/s13031-026-00823-z" }, { "first_seen": "2026-11-03T12:22:09Z", "native_id": "PMC13721457", "source": "pmc", "url": "https://doi.org/10.1186/s13031-026-00823-z" } ], "subjects": [ { "field": "medicine", "origin": "lcc:RC86-88.9", "subfield": "general" } ], "title": "Sociodemographic factors associated with anticipatory perceived labor vulnerability related to the Russia-Ukraine war among workers in Latin America.", "title_text": "Sociodemographic factors associated with anticipatory perceived labor vulnerability related to the Russia-Ukraine war among workers in Latin America.", "type": "peer-reviewed", "updated_at": "2026-11-03T14:20:49Z", "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/9hw076k5tsrnw", "venue": "Conflict and health", "versions": [] }