{
  "abstract": "Complex and spatially varying warming impacts on rice yield hinder climate change impact assessments on food security. To address this issue, we compiled a global dataset of field-warming experiments ( n = 214) and analyzed stage-specific crop responses to temperature variations. Results show that exposures to high (30° to 35°C) and extreme high (>35°C) temperatures are the dominant drivers of warming-induced rice yield losses, primarily through harvest index reductions. One additional exposure day above 30°C during the reproductive stage reduces rice yields by 1.1 to 1.8%. In contrast, current global gridded crop models underestimate this sensitivity, simulating only 0.1 to 1.3% yield loss per exposure day. After adjusting the model biases, we estimate that global rice yield losses decrease by 8.1% under 1°C of global warming, approximately twice the unadjusted estimates, with South and Southeast Asia being the most vulnerable regions. Our results highlight the critical role of high-temperature exposure in shaping warming impacts on rice yield.",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Department of Compound Environmental Risks, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research–UFZ, Leipzig, Germany",
    "Institute of Carbon Neutrality, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Sciences, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China",
    "Columbia Climate School, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA",
    "NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), New York, NY, USA",
    "Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany",
    "Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l’Environnement, LSCE/IPSL, CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Université Paris Saclay, Gif-sur-Yvette, France",
    "Department of Hydro Sciences, TUD Dresden University of Technology, Dresden, Germany",
    "International Rice Research Institute, Los Baños, Philippines",
    "College of Resources and Environmental Sciences, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China",
    "Jiangsu Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Nanjing, China",
    "Laboratory of Crop Ecophysiology and Farming System in the Middle Reaches of the Yangtze River, College of Plant Science and Technology, Huazhong Agricultural University, Wuhan, China",
    "Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Crop Physiology, Ecology and Genetic Breeding, Jiangxi Agricultural University, Nanchang, China",
    "Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center for Modern Crop Production/Key Laboratory of Crop Physiology and Ecology in Southern China, College of Agriculture, Nanjing Agricultural University, Nanjing, China",
    "Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development in Agriculture, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences/Key Laboratory of Agricultural Environment, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Beijing, China",
    "Institute of Crop Sciences, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences/Key Laboratory of Crop Physiology and Ecology, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Beijing, China",
    "Hubei Key Laboratory of Food Crop Germplasm and Genetic Improvement, Institute of Food Crops, Hubei Academy of Agricultural Sciences, Wuhan, China",
    "Department of Geography, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China",
    "State Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention, Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Soil and Water Processes in Watershed, College of Geography and Remote Sensing, Hohai University, Nanjing, China"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 17,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0,
        1
      ],
      "name": "Yiwei Jian",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-4646-4084"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        1
      ],
      "name": "Xuhui Wang",
      "orcid": "0000-0003-0818-9816"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        2,
        3,
        4
      ],
      "name": "Jonas Jägermeyr",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-8368-0018"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Philippe Ciais",
      "orcid": "0000-0001-8560-4943"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        4
      ],
      "name": "Christoph Müller",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-9491-3550"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        0,
        6
      ],
      "name": "Jakob Zscheischler A",
      "orcid": "0000-0001-6045-1629"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        7
      ],
      "name": "Tao Li",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-1360-1396"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        8
      ],
      "name": "Kun Cheng",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-6101-0558"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        9
      ],
      "name": "Pengfu Hou",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-3630-9929"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        10
      ],
      "name": "Jianliang Huang",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-4700-0329"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        11
      ],
      "name": "Shan Huang",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-1621-5589"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        12
      ],
      "name": "Yu Jiang",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-4241-1858"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        13
      ],
      "name": "Bin Wang",
      "orcid": "0000-0002-9166-6777"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        14
      ],
      "name": "Zhenwei Song",
      "orcid": "0000-0001-9057-2157"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        15
      ],
      "name": "Zuolin Zhang",
      "orcid": "0009-0004-7730-4480"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        16
      ],
      "name": "Peng Zhu",
      "orcid": "0000-0001-7835-3971"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        1,
        17
      ],
      "name": "Feng Zhou",
      "orcid": "0000-0001-6122-0611"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/d5jh00h82jywv.bib",
  "cited_by": 5,
  "doi": "10.1126/sciadv.aed9226",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "d5jh00h82jywv",
  "issns": [
    "2375-2548"
  ],
  "landing_url": "https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aed9226",
  "language": "en",
  "licence": "CC-BY-NC",
  "licence_label": "CC BY-NC",
  "licence_source": "journal",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [
    [
      "openalex",
      "1102|Climate change impacts on agriculture"
    ]
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  "openalex": "W7171615944",
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": "PMC13418735",
  "pmid": "42525772",
  "published": "2026-07-29",
  "publisher": "American Association for the Advancement of Science",
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/d5jh00h82jywv.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-11-10T13:21:07Z",
      "native_id": "W7171615944",
      "source": "openalex",
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aed9226"
    }
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  "subjects": [
    {
      "field": "biology",
      "origin": "openalex:1102|Climate change impacts on agriculture",
      "subfield": "plant-biology"
    }
  ],
  "title": "Vulnerability to high temperature shapes global warming impacts on rice yield",
  "title_text": "Vulnerability to high temperature shapes global warming impacts on rice yield",
  "type": "peer-reviewed",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-10T13:21:07Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/d5jh00h82jywv",
  "venue": "Science Advances",
  "versions": []
}