{
  "abstract": "IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 31.6% to 32.3% (+0.8pp, n=1543)\n\nSAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying the MANIPULATION-phase filter to the current live window would have excluded the three wkjudas trades (GBPUSD LONG, USDJPY SHORT, GBPUSD LONG) — all losses — and the two rizzy5m REJECTED/open trades (EURJPY SHORT, AUDUSD LONG) which are not yet resolved. Of the remaining five rizzy7m/rizzy5m trades, four are wins and one is a loss, yielding a 4/5 = 80% win rate versus the current 5/9 = 55.6% (excluding the two rejected/open). PnL impact is positive but small in absolute terms: removing three losses and two unresolved trades would have converted the window from roughly −0.4R to +1.2R, a net gain of ~1.6R. However, the filter also removes two potentially profitable open positions (EURJPY SHORT, AUDUSD LONG) whose outcomes are unknown, so the realized delta is uncertain until those close.\n\nAuthor: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher, United Kingdom"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Andrew Stewart Caldin"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/dfc7ybmxqpa4v.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23586988",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "dfc7ybmxqpa4v",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23586988",
  "language": "eng",
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [],
  "openalex": null,
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-23",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/dfc7ybmxqpa4v.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-11-06T12:21:55Z",
      "native_id": "23586988",
      "source": "zenodo",
      "url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23586988"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [],
  "title": "LAB #4575 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 31.6% to 32.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "title_text": "LAB #4575 NEUTRAL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: Quarterly phase = MANIPULATION — improves win rate from 31.6% to 32.3% ( — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-06T12:21:55Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/dfc7ybmxqpa4v",
  "venue": "Zenodo",
  "versions": []
}