{
  "abstract": "Large-scale assessments of post-fire forest recovery commonly evaluate whether annual or growing-season productivity approaches a reference state, yet similar annual totals can arise from different within-year production patterns. For 7197 forest fires in China during 2005–2016, we matched burned forests with contemporaneous unburned controls and reconstructed 8-day counterfactual GPP trajectories through post-fire year 8 using MOD17 and PML-V2.2a. By post-fire years 6–8, annual GPP had approached the contemporaneous unburned reference, with mean relative effects (burned–control differences relative to control GPP) of −1.13% for MOD17 and +0.59% for PML-V2.2a. However, the burned–control relative effect during the early production phase remained 1.98 and 2.45 percentage points lower than during the core phase, respectively. This within-year allocation contrast declined by 77.7% and 73.2% from post-fire year 1 to year 8 but remained negative under four temporal definitions. Control-to-control randomization showed that the national-scale contrast exceeded design-internal variation. Timing differences were concentrated near the leading edge of the production window, and early-phase production amplitude was also lower than core-phase amplitude, although the 8-day data could not reliably separate their contributions. MOD17 and PML-V2.2a reproduced the direction and temporal location of the population-scale pattern, whereas cumulative 8-year GPP differences varied by up to 4.7-fold across MOD17, PML-V2.2a, and GLASS-GPP. These results show that annual satellite-derived productivity and within-year production allocation capture different but complementary dimensions of post-fire recovery. Incorporating within-year temporal structure alongside annual production can improve the characterization of large-scale recovery and the interpretation of multi-product satellite assessments.",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Faculty of Geography; Teaching and Experimentation Base & Innovation Service Center for Geographic Information Technology; GIS Technology Research Center of Resource and Environment in Western China, Ministry of Education",
    "Faculty of Geography; GIS Technology Research Center of Resource and Environment in Western China, Ministry of Education; Corresponding author at: Faculty of Geography, Yunnan Normal University, Kunming 650500, China",
    "Faculty of Surveying and Mapping; Corresponding author at: Faculty of Surveying and Mapping, Kunming Metallurgy University, Kunming 650033, China.",
    "Faculty of Geography",
    "Faculty of Geography; Teaching and Experimentation Base & Innovation Service Center for Geographic Information Technology",
    "Faculty of Geography; GIS Technology Research Center of Resource and Environment in Western China, Ministry of Education"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 13,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Xiao Wang"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        1
      ],
      "name": "Quanli Xu"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        2
      ],
      "name": "Junhua Yi"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        3
      ],
      "name": "Yu Wang"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        4
      ],
      "name": "Fengzhi Wu"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Shu Wang"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Shengfeng Li"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Yijing Lin"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Zhaoxin Fu"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Yajun Wang"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Shijie Ye"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Ting Yang"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        5
      ],
      "name": "Qing Zou"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/fe33009hwed69.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.115521",
  "fulltext_url": "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X26009222",
  "id": "fe33009hwed69",
  "issns": [
    "1470-160X",
    "1872-7034"
  ],
  "landing_url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.115521",
  "language": "en",
  "licence": "CC-BY",
  "licence_label": "CC BY",
  "licence_source": "journal",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [
    [
      "lcc",
      "QH540-549.5"
    ],
    [
      "openalex",
      "2306|Fire effects on ecosystems"
    ]
  ],
  "openalex": "W7213293516",
  "pdf_url": "https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1470160X26009222/pdf",
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-23",
  "publisher": "Elsevier",
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/fe33009hwed69.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-10-30T13:43:20Z",
      "native_id": "ab2a3635c50946d69cbb6b262dce41dd",
      "source": "doaj",
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2026.115521"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [
    {
      "field": "earth",
      "origin": "openalex:2306|Fire effects on ecosystems",
      "subfield": "climate"
    }
  ],
  "title": "Asynchronous convergence of annual satellite-derived forest productivity and within-year production allocation after fire: Counterfactual evidence from 7197 forest fires in China",
  "title_text": "Asynchronous convergence of annual satellite-derived forest productivity and within-year production allocation after fire: Counterfactual evidence from 7197 forest fires in China",
  "type": "peer-reviewed",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-30T13:43:20Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/fe33009hwed69",
  "venue": "Ecological Indicators",
  "versions": []
}