{
  "abstract": "‎Gambling in South Africa‎, ‎propelled by casinos‎, ‎sports betting‎, ‎and a growing online sector‎, ‎is increasingly influenced by economic pressures and accessibility‎. ‎This study presents a {partially data-informed} mathematical model to {analyze} gambling participation‎, ‎focusing on the impact of economic indicators (unemployment‎, ‎inflation‎, ‎GDP per capita‎, ‎and poverty) on gambling behaviours‎. ‎Integrating these factors with social influences‎, ‎we employ a non-linear differential equation framework to evaluate the perceived utility of gambling in varying economic scenarios‎. ‎Using Monte Carlo simulations and scenario analysis‎, ‎our results reveal a significant association between high unemployment‎, ‎poverty‎, ‎and increased gambling participation‎, ‎particularly in socially cohesive environments‎. ‎Results indicate that higher unemployment and poverty levels significantly correlate with increased gambling‎, ‎with social influence amplifying this trend‎. ‎Unemployment and peer effects emerge as primary predictors‎, ‎highlighting economic hardship's role in gambling behaviour‎. ‎These findings suggest targeted interventions for economically vulnerable populations‎, ‎such as educational campaigns and support services‎, ‎to mitigate gambling-related risks during economic downturns‎.",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Department of Mathematics and Applied Mathematics, ‎South Africa"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 2,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Tichaona Chikore"
    },
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Farai Nyabadza"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/fe9xk7j3aazag.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.22052/mir.2026.257798.1549",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "fe9xk7j3aazag",
  "issns": [
    "2476-4965"
  ],
  "landing_url": "https://doi.org/10.22052/mir.2026.257798.1549",
  "language": "en",
  "licence": "CC-BY",
  "licence_label": "CC BY",
  "licence_source": "journal",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [
    [
      "lcc",
      "QA1-939"
    ],
    [
      "openalex",
      "3203|Gambling Behavior and Treatments"
    ]
  ],
  "openalex": "W7223696253",
  "pdf_url": "https://mir.kashanu.ac.ir/article_115879_faec19e7c22925e765437598b243f6b7.pdf",
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-30",
  "publisher": "University of Kashan",
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/fe9xk7j3aazag.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-10-30T13:44:39Z",
      "native_id": "2bb0e997d7c64208b3d3d87ca7182c08",
      "source": "doaj",
      "url": "https://doi.org/10.22052/mir.2026.257798.1549"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [
    {
      "field": "medicine",
      "origin": "openalex:3203|Gambling Behavior and Treatments",
      "subfield": "psychiatry"
    }
  ],
  "title": "Economic Determinants and Social Influences on Gambling‎ ‎in‎ ‎South‎ ‎Africa:‎ ‎A‎ ‎Mathematical Modeling Approach",
  "title_text": "Economic Determinants and Social Influences on Gambling‎ ‎in‎ ‎South‎ ‎Africa:‎ ‎A‎ ‎Mathematical Modeling Approach",
  "type": "peer-reviewed",
  "updated_at": "2026-10-31T14:20:21Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/fe9xk7j3aazag",
  "venue": "Mathematics Interdisciplinary Research",
  "versions": []
}