{
  "abstract": "IDEA: Adjustment made to the live model — verify against the backtests: Apply filter: NZDUSD SHORT — improves win rate from 31.6% to 33.8% (+2.2pp, n=133)\n\nSAME-WINDOW EFFECT: Applying a blanket NZDUSD SHORT filter would have blocked the one live NZDUSD SHORT (rizzy5m, entry 0.58252) that closed as a WIN, and it would have also blocked the wkjudas NZDUSD SHORT (entry 0.59214) that is still open/REJECTED. This removes a confirmed winner from the window, directly contradicting the backtest's claimed edge. Net effect on this small sample: win rate drops (from 3/6 closed wins to 2/5), and PnL would be negative relative to current state because you are discarding a profitable trade.\n\nOVER-TIME PROJECTION: The +2.2pp improvement is derived from n=133, which is a modest sample but not trivial. However, the live window shows the exact opposite signal — your best NZDUSD SHORT was a winner. Over 3–6 months, a currency-pair-directional filter risks overfitting to a specific regime (e.g., NZD weak\n\nAuthor: Andrew Stewart Caldin, Independent Researcher, UK. Part of the E8 Intelligence Research series. Platform: e8intelligence.com",
  "abstract_shown": true,
  "affiliations": [
    "Independent Researcher, United Kingdom"
  ],
  "article_type": null,
  "arxiv": null,
  "author_total": 1,
  "authors": [
    {
      "affs": [
        0
      ],
      "name": "Andrew Stewart Caldin"
    }
  ],
  "bibtex": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/fff7wh36c3q46.bib",
  "cited_by": 0,
  "doi": "10.5281/zenodo.23553631",
  "fulltext_url": null,
  "id": "fff7wh36c3q46",
  "issns": [],
  "landing_url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23553631",
  "language": "eng",
  "licence": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "licence_label": "CC BY 4.0",
  "licence_source": "article",
  "licence_url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
  "metadata_licence": null,
  "native_subjects": [],
  "openalex": null,
  "pdf_url": null,
  "pmcid": null,
  "pmid": null,
  "published": "2026-10-22",
  "publisher": null,
  "ris": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/fff7wh36c3q46.ris",
  "sources": [
    {
      "first_seen": "2026-11-05T12:21:20Z",
      "native_id": "23553631",
      "source": "zenodo",
      "url": "https://zenodo.org/records/23553631"
    }
  ],
  "subjects": [],
  "title": "LAB #4506 HARMFUL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: NZDUSD SHORT — improves win rate from 31.6% to 33.8% (+2.2pp, n=133) — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "title_text": "LAB #4506 HARMFUL: LEDGER BENCH: Apply filter: NZDUSD SHORT — improves win rate from 31.6% to 33.8% (+2.2pp, n=133) — E8 Intelligence Research",
  "type": "preprint",
  "updated_at": "2026-11-05T12:21:20Z",
  "url": "https://research.draconitic.com/paper/fff7wh36c3q46",
  "venue": "Zenodo",
  "versions": []
}