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Continuous-time q-Learning for Finite-Horizon Portfolio Choice with Optimal Stopping in Jump-Diffusion Markets

Abstract

We develop a structured continuous-time q-learning framework for finite-horizon investment and optimal stopping under jump-diffusion dynamics with unknown parameters. A penalty approximation transforms the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman variational inequality into an HJB equation with a binary control for the stopping penalty. An auxiliary state incorporates the resulting control-dependent discount factor into a Markovian formulation. We randomize controls on the mixed action space and introduce Shannon entropy regularization, establishing policy improvement and martingale characterizations of the continuous-time q-function. These results motivate a structured q-learning algorithm that constructs the q-function from the penalty HJB equation and jointly learns the value function and unknown generator parameters from sample paths. We apply the method to portfolio choice with optimal stopping in a simulation study. We further conduct a two-asset empirical study, evaluating learned strategies on bootstrap paths from held-out test returns versus an MLE-finite difference benchmark.

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BibTeX
@misc{zhang2026continuoustime,
  title = {{Continuous-time q-Learning for Finite-Horizon Portfolio Choice with Optimal Stopping in Jump-Diffusion Markets}},
  author = {Tingting Zhang and Can Yang},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = nov,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2611.07362},
  eprint = {2611.07362},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07362},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Continuous-time q-Learning for Finite-Horizon Portfolio Choice with Optimal Stopping in Jump-Diffusion Markets
AU  - Tingting Zhang
AU  - Can Yang
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/11/05
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2611.07362
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.07362
AB  - We develop a structured continuous-time q-learning framework for finite-horizon investment and optimal stopping under jump-diffusion dynamics with unknown parameters. A penalty approximation transforms the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman variational inequality into an HJB equation with a binary control for the stopping penalty. An auxiliary state incorporates the resulting control-dependent discount factor into a Markovian formulation. We randomize controls on the mixed action space and introduce Shannon entropy regularization, establishing policy improvement and martingale characterizations of the continuous-time q-function. These results motivate a structured q-learning algorithm that constructs the q-function from the penalty HJB equation and jointly learns the value function and unknown generator parameters from sample paths. We apply the method to portfolio choice with optimal stopping in a simulation study. We further conduct a two-asset empirical study, evaluating learned strategies on bootstrap paths from held-out test returns versus an MLE-finite difference benchmark.
ER  -