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Peer-reviewedCC BYGeoscientific model development

The Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP) for CMIP7

  • Fang Li1
  • David M. Lawrence2
  • Brendan M. Rogers3
  • Chantelle Burton4
  • Huilin Huang5
  • Yiquan Jiang6
  • Johannes W. Kaiser7
  • Matthew R. Kasoar8
  • Hanna Lee9
  • Ruby Leung10
  • Lars Nieradzik11
  • Aihui Wang1
6 more authors
  • D. S. Ward12
  • Ligeer Ce1,13
  • Y. Li1,13
  • Zhongda Lin1
  • Apostolos Voulgarakis7,14
  • Yongkang Xue15
15 affiliations
  1. 1State Key Laboratory of Earth System Numerical Modeling and Application, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
  2. 2NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA
  3. 3Woodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA, USA
  4. 4Met Office Hadley Centre, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, UK
  5. 5University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA
  6. 6China Meteorological Administration–Nanjing University Joint Laboratory for Climate Prediction Studies, and Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Climate Change, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
  7. 7Atmosphere and Climate, The Climate and Environmental Research Institute NILU, Kjeller, Norway
  8. 8Leverhulme Centre for Wildfires, Environment and Society, Department of Physics, Imperial College London, London, UK
  9. 9Department of Biology, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway
  10. 10Atmospheric, Climate, and Earth Sciences Division, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, USA
  11. 11Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Lund University, Lund, Sweden
  12. 12Karen Clark & Company, Boston, MA, USA
  13. 13University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
  14. 14School of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Chania, Greece
  15. 15Department of Geography, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, USA
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Abstract

Fire is a global phenomenon and a key Earth system process. Extreme fire events have increased in recent years, and fire frequency and intensity are projected to rise across most regions and biomes, posing substantial challenges for ecosystems, the carbon cycle, and society. The Fire Model Intercomparison Project (FireMIP), launched in 2014, has contributed to advancing global fire modeling in Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) and improving understanding of fire's local drivers and local impacts on vegetation and land carbon budgets through land offline (i.e., uncoupled from the atmosphere) simulations. We now bring FireMIP into Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 7 (CMIP7) to: (1) evaluate fire simulations in state-of-the-art fully coupled Earth system models (ESMs); (2) assess fire regime changes in the past, present, and future, and identify their primary natural and anthropogenic forcings and causal pathways within the Earth system, including the associated uncertainties; and (3) quantify the impacts of fires and fire changes on climate, ecosystems, and society across Earth system components, regions, and timescales, and elucidate the underlying mechanisms. FireMIP in CMIP7 will advance the fire and fire-related modeling in fully coupled ESMs, and provide a quantitative, detailed, and process-based understanding of fire's role in the Earth system by using models that incorporate critical climate feedbacks and multi-model, multi-initial-condition, and CMIP7 multi-scenario ensembles. This paper presents the motivation, scientific questions, experimental design and its rationale, model inputs and outputs, and the analysis framework for FireMIP in CMIP7, providing guidance for Earth system modeling teams conducting simulations and informing communities studying fire, climate change, and climate solutions.

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Cite

BibTeXRIS
BibTeX
@article{li2026fire,
  title = {{The Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP) for CMIP7}},
  author = {Fang Li and David M. Lawrence and Brendan M. Rogers and Chantelle Burton and Huilin Huang and Yiquan Jiang and Johannes W. Kaiser and Matthew R. Kasoar and Hanna Lee and Ruby Leung and Lars Nieradzik and Aihui Wang and D. S. Ward and Ligeer Ce and Y. Li and Zhongda Lin and Apostolos Voulgarakis and Yongkang Xue},
  journal = {Geoscientific model development},
  year = {2026},
  month = may,
  doi = {10.5194/gmd-19-3989-2026},
  url = {https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-3989-2026},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - The Fire Modeling Intercomparison Project (FireMIP) for CMIP7
AU  - Fang Li
AU  - David M. Lawrence
AU  - Brendan M. Rogers
AU  - Chantelle Burton
AU  - Huilin Huang
AU  - Yiquan Jiang
AU  - Johannes W. Kaiser
AU  - Matthew R. Kasoar
AU  - Hanna Lee
AU  - Ruby Leung
AU  - Lars Nieradzik
AU  - Aihui Wang
AU  - D. S. Ward
AU  - Ligeer Ce
AU  - Y. Li
AU  - Zhongda Lin
AU  - Apostolos Voulgarakis
AU  - Yongkang Xue
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/05/15
JO  - Geoscientific model development
DO  - 10.5194/gmd-19-3989-2026
UR  - https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-19-3989-2026
AB  - Fire is a global phenomenon and a key Earth system process. Extreme fire events have increased in recent years, and fire frequency and intensity are projected to rise across most regions and biomes, posing substantial challenges for ecosystems, the carbon cycle, and society. The Fire Model Intercomparison Project (FireMIP), launched in 2014, has contributed to advancing global fire modeling in Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) and improving understanding of fire's local drivers and local impacts on vegetation and land carbon budgets through land offline (i.e., uncoupled from the atmosphere) simulations. We now bring FireMIP into Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 7 (CMIP7) to: (1) evaluate fire simulations in state-of-the-art fully coupled Earth system models (ESMs); (2) assess fire regime changes in the past, present, and future, and identify their primary natural and anthropogenic forcings and causal pathways within the Earth system, including the associated uncertainties; and (3) quantify the impacts of fires and fire changes on climate, ecosystems, and society across Earth system components, regions, and timescales, and elucidate the underlying mechanisms. FireMIP in CMIP7 will advance the fire and fire-related modeling in fully coupled ESMs, and provide a quantitative, detailed, and process-based understanding of fire's role in the Earth system by using models that incorporate critical climate feedbacks and multi-model, multi-initial-condition, and CMIP7 multi-scenario ensembles. This paper presents the motivation, scientific questions, experimental design and its rationale, model inputs and outputs, and the analysis framework for FireMIP in CMIP7, providing guidance for Earth system modeling teams conducting simulations and informing communities studying fire, climate change, and climate solutions.
SN  - 1991-959X
SN  - 1991-9603
ER  -