Unsupervised machine learning for clinical risk subtyping and re-fracture risk analysis in osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures.
4 affiliations
- 1Department of Orthopedics Surgery, Beijing Luhe Hospital, Capital Medical University, Xinhua South Road No. 82, Tongzhou District, Beijing, 101149, China.
- 2Department of Orthopedics Surgery, Beijing Luhe Hospital, Capital Medical University, Xinhua South Road No. 82, Tongzhou District, Beijing, 101149, China. [email protected].
- 3Department of Orthopedics Surgery, Beijing Luhe Hospital, Capital Medical University, Xinhua South Road No. 82, Tongzhou District, Beijing, 101149, China. [email protected].
- 4Department of Orthopedics Surgery, Beijing Luhe Hospital, Capital Medical University, Xinhua South Road No. 82, Tongzhou District, Beijing, 101149, China. [email protected].
Abstract
Objective
To investigate the application of unsupervised machine learning analyzing re-fracture risks in osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures.Methods
A cohort of 867 patients (658 females and 209 males) with 1,255 fracture cases was analyzed. Fractures predominantly occurred at vertebrae T12, L1, and L2. Patients were categorized into once-fracture (n = 730) and multi-fracture (n = 137) groups. Bone mineral density (BMD) was measured, and t-SNE was used for dimensionality reduction. K-means clustering was applied for clustering fracture cases into four risk clusters based on patient-level clinical characteristics and regional fracture distribution (Clusters A: male-predominant low-risk, Cluster B: female low-risk, Cluster C: female high-risk, thoracolumbar, and Cluster D: female high-risk, mid-thoracic).Results
Multi-fracture patients had a median re-fracture interval of 10 months and significantly lower BMD compared to once-fracture patients. Cluster A fractures were exclusive to males with a re-fracture probability of 19.31%. Female fractures were categorized into Clusters B, C, and D, with re-fracture probabilities of 19.00%, 36.71%, and 32.77%, respectively. Cluster B fractures in females showed a significantly lower re-fracture risk compared to Clusters C and D. Significant differences in age, height, weight, and fracture location were observed among subtypes.Conclusion
The study highlights the potential of unsupervised machine learning for identifying exploratory, potentially clinically relevant risk phenotypes in OVCF patients, which may inform future risk-stratified follow-up strategies.Significance
The findings underscore the potential of unsupervised machine learning in identifying exploratory data-driven subtypes of spinal fractures and may inform risk stratification, thereby warranting further investigation.
Related
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BibTeX
@article{wang2026unsupervised,
title = {{Unsupervised machine learning for clinical risk subtyping and re-fracture risk analysis in osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures.}},
author = {Yongjie Wang and Xinwei Zhang and Libin Cui and Qian Lu and Ziqian Ma and Yan Zhang and Xin Yuan and Xueming Chen and Liang Liu},
journal = {BMC surgery},
year = {2026},
month = aug,
doi = {10.1186/s12893-026-04007-7},
url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42958247},
note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
TI - Unsupervised machine learning for clinical risk subtyping and re-fracture risk analysis in osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures.
AU - Yongjie Wang
AU - Xinwei Zhang
AU - Libin Cui
AU - Qian Lu
AU - Ziqian Ma
AU - Yan Zhang
AU - Xin Yuan
AU - Xueming Chen
AU - Liang Liu
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/08/04
JO - BMC surgery
DO - 10.1186/s12893-026-04007-7
UR - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42958247
AB - Objective To investigate the application of unsupervised machine learning analyzing re-fracture risks in osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures.Methods A cohort of 867 patients (658 females and 209 males) with 1,255 fracture cases was analyzed. Fractures predominantly occurred at vertebrae T12, L1, and L2. Patients were categorized into once-fracture (n = 730) and multi-fracture (n = 137) groups. Bone mineral density (BMD) was measured, and t-SNE was used for dimensionality reduction. K-means clustering was applied for clustering fracture cases into four risk clusters based on patient-level clinical characteristics and regional fracture distribution (Clusters A: male-predominant low-risk, Cluster B: female low-risk, Cluster C: female high-risk, thoracolumbar, and Cluster D: female high-risk, mid-thoracic).Results Multi-fracture patients had a median re-fracture interval of 10 months and significantly lower BMD compared to once-fracture patients. Cluster A fractures were exclusive to males with a re-fracture probability of 19.31%. Female fractures were categorized into Clusters B, C, and D, with re-fracture probabilities of 19.00%, 36.71%, and 32.77%, respectively. Cluster B fractures in females showed a significantly lower re-fracture risk compared to Clusters C and D. Significant differences in age, height, weight, and fracture location were observed among subtypes.Conclusion The study highlights the potential of unsupervised machine learning for identifying exploratory, potentially clinically relevant risk phenotypes in OVCF patients, which may inform future risk-stratified follow-up strategies.Significance The findings underscore the potential of unsupervised machine learning in identifying exploratory data-driven subtypes of spinal fractures and may inform risk stratification, thereby warranting further investigation.
SN - 1471-2482
ER -