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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Discussion on "Principled type I error rate inflation in two-arm clinical trial designs with external control information borrowing" by Silvia Calderazzo, Manuel Wiesenfarth, Vivienn Weru, and Annette Kopp-Schneider

Abstract

Consideration of frequentist type-I error or power based on certain fixed conditions may not fully embrace the aims of a Bayesian analysis; this is particularly true in settings where informative priors are involved. Calderazzo et al. consider adaptations of a testing procedure involving Bayesian borrowing from external control data. Particular caution may be necessary here in order not to condition on parameters and data simultaneously. We consider their example case and argue that (a) the conditioning scheme may have limited practical implications, and (b) if the main concern are assumption violations, these might be better addressed by adapting the likelihood function.

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BibTeX
@misc{friede2026discussion,
  title = {{Discussion on "Principled type I error rate inflation in two-arm clinical trial designs with external control information borrowing" by Silvia Calderazzo, Manuel Wiesenfarth, Vivienn Weru, and Annette Kopp-Schneider}},
  author = {Tim Friede and Christian Röver},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.00711},
  eprint = {2610.00711},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.00711},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Discussion on "Principled type I error rate inflation in two-arm clinical trial designs with external control information borrowing" by Silvia Calderazzo, Manuel Wiesenfarth, Vivienn Weru, and Annette Kopp-Schneider
AU  - Tim Friede
AU  - Christian Röver
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/26
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.00711
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.00711
AB  - Consideration of frequentist type-I error or power based on certain fixed conditions may not fully embrace the aims of a Bayesian analysis; this is particularly true in settings where informative priors are involved. Calderazzo et al. consider adaptations of a testing procedure involving Bayesian borrowing from external control data. Particular caution may be necessary here in order not to condition on parameters and data simultaneously. We consider their example case and argue that (a) the conditioning scheme may have limited practical implications, and (b) if the main concern are assumption violations, these might be better addressed by adapting the likelihood function.
ER  -