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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0JAMA Network Open

Early Mitral Valve Surgery and Survival in Asymptomatic Severe Primary Mitral Regurgitation

12 affiliations
  1. 1Division of Data Science, University of Suwon, Hwaseong, Republic of Korea
  2. 2Institute of Health and Environment, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  3. 3Division of Cardiology and Cardiovascular Center, Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  4. 4Division of Cardiology, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  5. 5Division of Cardiology, Heart Vascular Stroke Institute, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine and Samsung Medical Centre, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  6. 6Division of Cardiology, College of Medicine, University of Ulsan and Asan Medical Centre, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  7. 7Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Korea
  8. 8Department of Public Health Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  9. 9Interdisciplinary Program of Bioinformatics, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  10. 10RexSoft Inc, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  11. 11Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul National University College of Medicine, Seoul, Republic of Korea
  12. 12Center for Precision Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, Seoul, Republic of Korea

Abstract

Importance: The optimal timing of mitral valve (MV) surgery in patients with asymptomatic severe primary mitral regurgitation (MR) remains uncertain because randomized clinical trials are lacking.

Objective: To evaluate the association of early MV surgery with long-term survival in patients with asymptomatic severe primary MR using a target trial emulation framework.

Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used a clinical valve registry from 3 tertiary hospitals in South Korea between 2000 and 2022. Patients with asymptomatic severe primary MR were analyzed using a clone-censor-weight approach to emulate a target trial. A 6-month grace period after diagnosis was used to define treatment strategies. This analysis was conducted from September 2024 to January 2025.

Exposure: Early MV surgery (within 6 months of diagnosis) vs watchful waiting.

Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was all-cause mortality and the secondary outcome, a composite of all-cause mortality or heart failure hospitalization. Inverse probability of censoring-weighted estimates of the per-protocol effect size included restricted mean survival time (RMST) differences as the primary measure and hazard ratios (HRs) as secondary measures.

Results: Among 802 patients (mean [SD] age, 55 [16] years; 476 men [59%]), 344 underwent early surgery, and 458 received watchful waiting. During a median (IQR) follow-up of 7.4 (4.1-11.6) years, 27 deaths occurred in the early surgery group and 103 in the watchful waiting group. At 5 years, early surgery was associated with an RMST gain of 66 days (95% CI, 19-129 days). The survival benefit persisted up to 15 years. Early surgery was also associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality compared with watchful waiting (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.41-0.94; P = .02). Similar associations were observed in patients without left ventricular decompensation (HR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.31-0.96; P = .04) and in those with degenerative MR (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.36-0.98; P = .04).

Conclusions and Relevance: In this multicenter cohort study with a target trial framework, early surgery was associated with improved long-term survival among patients with asymptomatic severe primary MR. These findings support consideration of earlier surgical intervention in contemporary clinical practice.

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BibTeX
@article{ahn2026early,
  title = {{Early Mitral Valve Surgery and Survival in Asymptomatic Severe Primary Mitral Regurgitation}},
  author = {Juhee Ahn and Soongu Kwak and Jaehyun Lim and Kyu Kim and Jihoon Kim and Byung Joo Sun and Dae-Hee Kim and Kyung Hwan Kim and Chi Young Shim and Sung-Ji Park and Sungho Won and Seung-Pyo Lee},
  journal = {JAMA Network Open},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2026.37061},
  url = {https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2854832},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Early Mitral Valve Surgery and Survival in Asymptomatic Severe Primary Mitral Regurgitation
AU  - Juhee Ahn
AU  - Soongu Kwak
AU  - Jaehyun Lim
AU  - Kyu Kim
AU  - Jihoon Kim
AU  - Byung Joo Sun
AU  - Dae-Hee Kim
AU  - Kyung Hwan Kim
AU  - Chi Young Shim
AU  - Sung-Ji Park
AU  - Sungho Won
AU  - Seung-Pyo Lee
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/05
JO  - JAMA Network Open
DO  - 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2026.37061
UR  - https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2854832
AB  - Importance: The optimal timing of mitral valve (MV) surgery in patients with asymptomatic severe primary mitral regurgitation (MR) remains uncertain because randomized clinical trials are lacking.  Objective: To evaluate the association of early MV surgery with long-term survival in patients with asymptomatic severe primary MR using a target trial emulation framework.  Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used a clinical valve registry from 3 tertiary hospitals in South Korea between 2000 and 2022. Patients with asymptomatic severe primary MR were analyzed using a clone-censor-weight approach to emulate a target trial. A 6-month grace period after diagnosis was used to define treatment strategies. This analysis was conducted from September 2024 to January 2025.  Exposure: Early MV surgery (within 6 months of diagnosis) vs watchful waiting.  Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was all-cause mortality and the secondary outcome, a composite of all-cause mortality or heart failure hospitalization. Inverse probability of censoring-weighted estimates of the per-protocol effect size included restricted mean survival time (RMST) differences as the primary measure and hazard ratios (HRs) as secondary measures.  Results: Among 802 patients (mean [SD] age, 55 [16] years; 476 men [59%]), 344 underwent early surgery, and 458 received watchful waiting. During a median (IQR) follow-up of 7.4 (4.1-11.6) years, 27 deaths occurred in the early surgery group and 103 in the watchful waiting group. At 5 years, early surgery was associated with an RMST gain of 66 days (95% CI, 19-129 days). The survival benefit persisted up to 15 years. Early surgery was also associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality compared with watchful waiting (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.41-0.94; P = .02). Similar associations were observed in patients without left ventricular decompensation (HR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.31-0.96; P = .04) and in those with degenerative MR (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.36-0.98; P = .04).  Conclusions and Relevance: In this multicenter cohort study with a target trial framework, early surgery was associated with improved long-term survival among patients with asymptomatic severe primary MR. These findings support consideration of earlier surgical intervention in contemporary clinical practice.
SN  - 2574-3805
ER  -