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PreprintCC BY 4.0Zenodo

Internal Economic Resistance and the Prevention of Aggression: Behavioral Foundations, Measurement, and External Activation Mechanisms

Abstract

This article is the first part of the "Internal Resistance" series within the broader research program “Economic Guarantees of Security (EGS)”. This paper develops the concept of Economic Guarantees of Security by introducing and analyzing the mechanism of internal economic resistance as a key element in the prevention of aggression. In contrast to traditional approaches to deterrence, which are primarily based on external military and political instruments, the proposed approach focuses on the transmission of the economic consequences of aggression into the internal structure of the aggressor state.

It is shown that the effectiveness of economic mechanisms is determined not only by their scale, but also by their ability to transform into internal costs for households, businesses, and political elites. Based on the provisions of behavioral economics, it is substantiated that predictable and unavoidable losses exert a disproportionately strong influence on decision-making, thereby enhancing the deterrence effect.

The paper formalizes the transmission chain: from external economic triggers through market mechanisms to internal pressure on the decision-making system. Special attention is given to external activation mechanisms that ensure the automaticity and inevitability of economic consequences. The article introduces the concept of the Resistance Index (RI) as a leading indicator of the internal stability of the state.

It is concluded that a sustainable system of international security must combine external economic instruments with internal channels of transmission of their impact, thereby forming a structural disadvantage of aggression.

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BibTeX
@misc{rozenfeld2026internal,
  title = {{Internal Economic Resistance and the Prevention of Aggression: Behavioral Foundations, Measurement, and External Activation Mechanisms}},
  author = {Aleksandr Rozenfeld},
  howpublished = {Zenodo},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.5281/zenodo.23493806},
  url = {https://zenodo.org/records/23493806},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Internal Economic Resistance and the Prevention of Aggression: Behavioral Foundations, Measurement, and External Activation Mechanisms
AU  - Aleksandr Rozenfeld
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/20
PB  - Zenodo
DO  - 10.5281/zenodo.23493806
UR  - https://zenodo.org/records/23493806
AB  - This article is the first part of the "Internal Resistance" series within the broader research program “Economic Guarantees of Security (EGS)”. This paper develops the concept of Economic Guarantees of Security by introducing and analyzing the mechanism of internal economic resistance as a key element in the prevention of aggression. In contrast to traditional approaches to deterrence, which are primarily based on external military and political instruments, the proposed approach focuses on the transmission of the economic consequences of aggression into the internal structure of the aggressor state.  It is shown that the effectiveness of economic mechanisms is determined not only by their scale, but also by their ability to transform into internal costs for households, businesses, and political elites. Based on the provisions of behavioral economics, it is substantiated that predictable and unavoidable losses exert a disproportionately strong influence on decision-making, thereby enhancing the deterrence effect.  The paper formalizes the transmission chain: from external economic triggers through market mechanisms to internal pressure on the decision-making system. Special attention is given to external activation mechanisms that ensure the automaticity and inevitability of economic consequences. The article introduces the concept of the Resistance Index (RI) as a leading indicator of the internal stability of the state.  It is concluded that a sustainable system of international security must combine external economic instruments with internal channels of transmission of their impact, thereby forming a structural disadvantage of aggression.
ER  -