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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Efficient Message Passing for Partial Differential Equation Priors

Abstract

Prior information for real-world physical quantities is most elegantly expressed via partial differential equations (PDEs). In this paper, we propose a novel way to solve PDEs using probabilistic inference on a factor graph. In general, factor graphs provide a natural way to encode prior knowledge into a model as explicit factors; here, this knowledge is provided by a governing PDE, which narrows the solution space, while observed data further shape the posterior over the parameters. The approximate parameter posterior is inferred using message passing based on moment matching, without posterior sampling or global gradient-based optimization. We demonstrate our approach on the first-order advection and the second-order semi-linear Fisher-KPP equations, where it achieves predictive accuracy comparable to a standard baseline while providing structured predictive uncertainty. Moreover, the inferred posterior marginal means and uncertainty structure match more closely those obtained using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo than the evaluated mean-field variational inference baseline, while requiring up to 10x less training time in our experiments, with inference speed comparable to variational inference.

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BibTeX
@misc{kazachkova2026efficient,
  title = {{Efficient Message Passing for Partial Differential Equation Priors}},
  author = {Anna Kazachkova and Leonhard Hennicke and Rainer Schlosser and Ralf Herbrich},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.32956},
  eprint = {2609.32956},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.32956},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Efficient Message Passing for Partial Differential Equation Priors
AU  - Anna Kazachkova
AU  - Leonhard Hennicke
AU  - Rainer Schlosser
AU  - Ralf Herbrich
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/26
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.32956
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.32956
AB  - Prior information for real-world physical quantities is most elegantly expressed via partial differential equations (PDEs). In this paper, we propose a novel way to solve PDEs using probabilistic inference on a factor graph. In general, factor graphs provide a natural way to encode prior knowledge into a model as explicit factors; here, this knowledge is provided by a governing PDE, which narrows the solution space, while observed data further shape the posterior over the parameters. The approximate parameter posterior is inferred using message passing based on moment matching, without posterior sampling or global gradient-based optimization. We demonstrate our approach on the first-order advection and the second-order semi-linear Fisher-KPP equations, where it achieves predictive accuracy comparable to a standard baseline while providing structured predictive uncertainty. Moreover, the inferred posterior marginal means and uncertainty structure match more closely those obtained using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo than the evaluated mean-field variational inference baseline, while requiring up to 10x less training time in our experiments, with inference speed comparable to variational inference.
ER  -