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PreprintCC BYbioRxiv

Why 627 BindCraft2 trajectories produced zero binders

  1. 1Shenzhen UniBindMD Computational Biotechnology Co., Ltd.

Abstract

De novo protein-binder design with deep-learning pipelines such as BindCraft2 has been reported to deliver experimental success rates of 10-100% against well-structured targets. Here we report the opposite tail: two BindCraft2 (v1.0.3) cyclic-peptide campaigns targeting the shallow K81 lactylation epitope of human lactate dehydrogenase A (LDHA) produced zero accepted designs from 627 trajectories. Retrospective analysis of the campaign artifacts shows that 97% of trajectories were rejected at the first ("screen") stage by a single confidence gate (binder pLDDT < 0.60), not because the interface failed to form: the interface metric i_pTM reached 0.69 and the target was confidently folded (pTM = 0.90). Critically, the mid-project decision to disable the "lysine trick" (forced_targeting) was backwards -- that feature moved 17 trajectories past the screen versus 1 without it, and raised interface confidence. We document two preset/metric mismatches that set a macrocycle campaign up to fail regardless of budget: a screen-stage pLDDT gate calibrated for globular binders, and a binder_contacts loss that is degenerate for short peptides. We describe the exact artifacts BindCraft2 writes and distill them into a reusable post-mortem protocol, and we include a complete how-to-use-BindCraft2 guide so the failure analysis also serves as a tutorial.

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BibTeX
@misc{fu2026bindcraft2,
  title = {{Why 627 BindCraft2 trajectories produced zero binders}},
  author = {W. Fu and J. Chen and X. Wu},
  howpublished = {bioRxiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.64898/2026.10.13.758722},
  url = {https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.10.13.758722v1},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Why 627 BindCraft2 trajectories produced zero binders
AU  - W. Fu
AU  - J. Chen
AU  - X. Wu
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/13
PB  - bioRxiv
DO  - 10.64898/2026.10.13.758722
UR  - https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.10.13.758722v1
AB  - De novo protein-binder design with deep-learning pipelines such as BindCraft2 has been reported to deliver experimental success rates of 10-100% against well-structured targets. Here we report the opposite tail: two BindCraft2 (v1.0.3) cyclic-peptide campaigns targeting the shallow K81 lactylation epitope of human lactate dehydrogenase A (LDHA) produced zero accepted designs from 627 trajectories. Retrospective analysis of the campaign artifacts shows that 97% of trajectories were rejected at the first ("screen") stage by a single confidence gate (binder pLDDT < 0.60), not because the interface failed to form: the interface metric i_pTM reached 0.69 and the target was confidently folded (pTM = 0.90). Critically, the mid-project decision to disable the "lysine trick" (forced_targeting) was backwards -- that feature moved 17 trajectories past the screen versus 1 without it, and raised interface confidence. We document two preset/metric mismatches that set a macrocycle campaign up to fail regardless of budget: a screen-stage pLDDT gate calibrated for globular binders, and a binder_contacts loss that is degenerate for short peptides. We describe the exact artifacts BindCraft2 writes and distill them into a reusable post-mortem protocol, and we include a complete how-to-use-BindCraft2 guide so the failure analysis also serves as a tutorial.
ER  -