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PreprintarXiv licencearXiv

Fractional-order SIS-UAU subdiffusion model for rumor propagation

Abstract

Understanding information and rumor diffusion in complex social systems is essential for risk management. Classical SIS-UAU (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible / Unaware-Aware-Unaware) models rely on Markovian assumptions and thus fail to capture the memory effects and subdiffusive behaviors commonly observed in real social interactions. To address this limitation, we propose a fractional-order SIS-UAU model based on Caputo derivatives, embedding non-Markovian memory into a duplex awareness-rumor spreading process. Methodologically, we derive the corresponding mean-field equations and establish existence, uniqueness, positivity, boundedness, and a Matignon-type stability criterion. The basic reproduction number is obtained, revealing how awareness dynamics reshape the effective rumor threshold. Numerically, we develop a block-adaptive FFT (Fast Fourier Transform) solver to efficiently handle long-horizon fractional dynamics, enabling large-scale simulations. Our results show that fractional memory significantly slows the transient evolution of rumors without altering the steady state. Furthermore, infection-layer parameters dominate long-term rumor prevalence, awareness transmission substantially suppresses rumor levels, and multilayer network topology-especially degree heterogeneity-critically influences propagation outcomes. Collectively, these findings underscore the necessity of integrating memory effects, awareness dynamics, and network structure for realistic rumor modeling

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BibTeX
@misc{li2026fractionalorder,
  title = {{Fractional-order SIS-UAU subdiffusion model for rumor propagation}},
  author = {Qin Li and Jiexi Tang and Jürgen Kurths and Matjaž Perc and Minyu Feng},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.22008},
  eprint = {2610.22008},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.22008},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Fractional-order SIS-UAU subdiffusion model for rumor propagation
AU  - Qin Li
AU  - Jiexi Tang
AU  - Jürgen Kurths
AU  - Matjaž Perc
AU  - Minyu Feng
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/22
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.22008
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.22008
AB  - Understanding information and rumor diffusion in complex social systems is essential for risk management. Classical SIS-UAU (Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible / Unaware-Aware-Unaware) models rely on Markovian assumptions and thus fail to capture the memory effects and subdiffusive behaviors commonly observed in real social interactions. To address this limitation, we propose a fractional-order SIS-UAU model based on Caputo derivatives, embedding non-Markovian memory into a duplex awareness-rumor spreading process. Methodologically, we derive the corresponding mean-field equations and establish existence, uniqueness, positivity, boundedness, and a Matignon-type stability criterion. The basic reproduction number is obtained, revealing how awareness dynamics reshape the effective rumor threshold. Numerically, we develop a block-adaptive FFT (Fast Fourier Transform) solver to efficiently handle long-horizon fractional dynamics, enabling large-scale simulations. Our results show that fractional memory significantly slows the transient evolution of rumors without altering the steady state. Furthermore, infection-layer parameters dominate long-term rumor prevalence, awareness transmission substantially suppresses rumor levels, and multilayer network topology-especially degree heterogeneity-critically influences propagation outcomes. Collectively, these findings underscore the necessity of integrating memory effects, awareness dynamics, and network structure for realistic rumor modeling
ER  -