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Fractional expectation thresholds and the "second" Kahn-Kalai conjecture
Abstract
We show that the uniform probability measure on copies of a nonempty graph H in Kn is CqHlog(2e(H))-spread, where qH is its graphic expectation threshold. Consequently, the fractional expectation threshold of H is at most CqHlog(2e(H)). We remove the logarithmic factor for trees and for graphs whose average degree is at least the logarithm of their maximum degree. This proves the ``second'' Kahn-Kalai conjecture for these two classes, which encompass most of the standard families studied in random graph containment problems.
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BibTeX
@misc{tran2026fractional,
title = {{Fractional expectation thresholds and the "second" Kahn-Kalai conjecture}},
author = {Tuan Tran},
howpublished = {arXiv},
year = {2026},
month = sep,
doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.20546},
eprint = {2609.20546},
archivePrefix = {arXiv},
url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.20546},
}
RIS
TY - UNPB
TI - Fractional expectation thresholds and the "second" Kahn-Kalai conjecture
AU - Tuan Tran
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/09/24
PB - arXiv
DO - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.20546
UR - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.20546
AB - We show that the uniform probability measure on copies of a nonempty graph H in K_n is Cq_Hlog(2e(H))-spread, where q_H is its graphic expectation threshold. Consequently, the fractional expectation threshold of H is at most Cq_Hlog(2e(H)). We remove the logarithmic factor for trees and for graphs whose average degree is at least the logarithm of their maximum degree. This proves the ``second'' Kahn-Kalai conjecture for these two classes, which encompass most of the standard families studied in random graph containment problems.
ER -