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Peer-reviewedCC BY-NC-NDThe Lancet regional health. Europe

Regional and national variation in donor and recipient characteristics, transplant practice, and outcomes after liver transplantation (the IMPROVEMENT collaborative): a multicentre cohort study.

141 more authors

60 listed; 153 in total.

40 affiliations
  1. 1General Surgery and Transplantation Unit, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
  2. 2Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.
  3. 3General Surgery and Organ Transplantation Unit, Department of General and Specialist Surgery and Anesthesiology, Sapienza University of Rome, Policlinico Umberto I, Rome, Italy.
  4. 4Gastroenterology, Department of Surgery, Oncology and Gastroenterology, Padua University Hospital, Padua, Italy.
  5. 5Department of Surgical, Oncological and Gastroenterological Sciences, University of Padua, Padua, Italy & General Surgery and Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, Padua University Hospital, Padua, Italy.
  6. 6MAYO Clinic, Jacksonville, FL, USA.
  7. 7Cirugía Hepato-Bilio-Pancreática, Transplante Hepático, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
  8. 8Hamamatsu Rosai Hospital, Shogen-cho, Chuoku, Hamamatsu, Shizuoka, Japan.
  9. 9Hepatobiliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, Cruces University Hospital, University of the Basque Country, Biobizkaia Health Research Institute, Bilbao, Spain.
  10. 10Organ Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
  11. 11Transplant Division, Department of Surgery, University of Massachusetts, Worcester, MA, USA.
  12. 12Division of Transplantation Surgery, CLINTEC, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
  13. 13Division of HPB and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Erasmus MC Transplant Institute, University MC Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
  14. 14Department of Liver Transplantation, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA.
  15. 15Dr. Rela Institute & Medical Centre, Chennai, India.
  16. 16Multiorgan Transplantation, Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Canada.
  17. 17Liver Transplant Division, Hospital Santa Isabel, Blumenau, Brazil.
  18. 18Federal University of Parana, Blumenau, Brazil.
  19. 19Liver Transplant Unit Department of Medicine University of Udine, ASUFC-Udine, Italy.
  20. 20Department of Surgery and Transplantation, Bahcesehir University School of Medicine, Medical Park Goztepe Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey.
  21. 21New Zealand Liver Transplant Unit - Te Toka Tumai, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand.
  22. 22Liver Transplantation Unit, University of Campinas-UNICAMP, San Paolo, Brazil.
  23. 23Department of General, Visceral-, Abdominal-, Transplantation and Pediatric Surgery, University Hospital Schleswig-Holstein Campus Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
  24. 24Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico di Milano - SC Chirurgia Generale e Trapianti di Fegato, Milan, Italy.
  25. 25Liver Transplant Unit, University Hospital Trust of Verona, Verona, Italy.
  26. 26Hepatobiliary Surgery and Transplant Unit, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy & Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
  27. 27Institute of Organ Transplantation, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
  28. 28Service de Chirurgie et Transplantation Abdominale, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Louvain, Belgium.
  29. 29General Surgery and Abdominal Transplantation Unit, University of Milano-Bicocca and Niguarda-CàGranda Hospital, Milan, Italy.
  30. 30Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.
  31. 31Division of Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Indiana University, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
  32. 32Division of Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Stritch School of Medicine, Loyola University Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
  33. 33Department of General Surgery and Transplantation Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera San Camillo Forlanini, Rome, Italy.
  34. 34Department of Hepatopancreatic Surgery, First People's Hospital of Foshan, Foshan, China.
  35. 35Division of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria Pisana, Pisa, Italy.
  36. 36Department of General, Transplant and Liver Surgery, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland.
  37. 37IRCCS ISMETT, Palermo, Italy & Department of General Surgery and Medical-Surgical Specialities, Catania, Italy.
  38. 38Department of Liver Transplant and HPB Surgeries, Max Super Speciality Hospital, Saket, New Delhi, India.
  39. 39HPB and Transplant Surgery, Newcastle Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle, UK.
  40. 40General Surgery 1, Zhongshan People's Hospital, Zhongshan, China.

Abstract

Outcome variability in liver transplantation remains globally driven by differences in donor-recipient characteristics and in risk-mitigation strategies. Prediction models lack geographic balance and fail to account for current disease classification and advanced organ preservation methods. The IMPROVEMENT study (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05289609) aimed to characterise the donor-recipient risks and to develop and validate global prognostic algorithms (mortality and complication rate). This non-competitive, international, cohort study involved 61 centres across Europe, Asia, North and South America, Oceania. Centres provided 83 balanced data series. 5218 patients were enroled in retrospective (2017-2019) and/or prospective (2022-2023) cohorts to avoid COVID-19 confounding. A four-step analytical hierarchy process (world maps, radar graphs, donor versus recipient risk plot, and mixed-effects generalised models) enables visualisation of risk propensity, namely, "aggressiveness", and risk-mitigation balance, namely "coverage adequacy". Outcome measures were 90-, 365-, and 730-day mortality and high complication rates. Overall survival rates at 90 days, 1 year and 5 years were 93, 90 and 80, respectively. Predictors of mortality included recipient age, CAD, pre-operative complex portal thrombosis, preoperative ventilatory life support, MASLD, MELD 3.0 > 30, packed red blood transfusions (PRBC), and cold ischaemia time ≥360 min. The high complication rate resulted dependent from preoperative ventilatory life support, complex portal thrombosis, TIPS and PRBC. Notably, donor factors had a low impact on outcomes, reflecting successful donor-recipient matching and new graft perfusion modalities. Transplant at high-volume centres (>65 transplants/year) was a significant protective factor (mortality and complication rates). C-statistics of 90-day mortality and high complication rate models were 0.78 and 0.77, respectively. The IMPROVEMENT study shows that, unlike before, recipient and system-level factors now appear to account for the largest proportion of outcome variability. Implementing risk-mitigation strategies can offset high-risk profiles. These findings provide a robust framework for equitable health resource allocation and clinical decision-making worldwide. Italian Ministry of Health #RF-2021-12372422 grant.

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BibTeX
@article{avolio2026regional,
  title = {{Regional and national variation in donor and recipient characteristics, transplant practice, and outcomes after liver transplantation (the IMPROVEMENT collaborative): a multicentre cohort study.}},
  author = {Alfonso W Avolio and Marco M Pascale and Quirino Lai and Patrizia Burra and Umberto Cillo and Kristopher P Croome and Martin De Santibanes and Hiroto Egawa and Mikel M Gastaca and Zhiyong Guo and Paulo N Martins and Gabriel C Oniscu and Wojciech G Polak and Cristiano Quintini and Mohamed Rela and Gonzalo Sapisochin and Julio C Wiederkehr and Umberto Baccarani and Deniz Balci and Louise A Barbier and Ilka de Fatima Santana Ferreira Boin and Felix Braun and Lucio Caccamo and Amedeo Carraro and Matteo Cescon and Zhishui Chen and Olga Ciccarelli and Luciano G De Carlis and Fabrizio Di Benedetto and Burcin Ekser and Giuseppe M Ettorre and Deng Feiwen and Davide Ghinolfi and Michal J Grat and Salvatore Gruttadauria and Subhash Gupta and John Hammond and Xiaoshun He and Zemin Hu and Takashi Ito and Sunhawit Junrungsee and Mickael Lesurtel and Laura Llado and Jean Y Mabrut and Daniel Maluf and Vincenzo Mazzaferro and Gilberto A Mejia and Artem Monakhov and Silvio Nadalin and Brian M Nguyen and Nghia Q Nguyen and Bunthoon Noonthasoot and Madhukar S Patel and Thamara Perera and Marcos V Perini and Domenico Pinelli and Carlo Pulitano and Renato Romagnoli and Massimo Rossi and Ephrem Salame},
  journal = {The Lancet regional health. Europe},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101889},
  url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42999582},
  note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Regional and national variation in donor and recipient characteristics, transplant practice, and outcomes after liver transplantation (the IMPROVEMENT collaborative): a multicentre cohort study.
AU  - Alfonso W Avolio
AU  - Marco M Pascale
AU  - Quirino Lai
AU  - Patrizia Burra
AU  - Umberto Cillo
AU  - Kristopher P Croome
AU  - Martin De Santibanes
AU  - Hiroto Egawa
AU  - Mikel M Gastaca
AU  - Zhiyong Guo
AU  - Paulo N Martins
AU  - Gabriel C Oniscu
AU  - Wojciech G Polak
AU  - Cristiano Quintini
AU  - Mohamed Rela
AU  - Gonzalo Sapisochin
AU  - Julio C Wiederkehr
AU  - Umberto Baccarani
AU  - Deniz Balci
AU  - Louise A Barbier
AU  - Ilka de Fatima Santana Ferreira Boin
AU  - Felix Braun
AU  - Lucio Caccamo
AU  - Amedeo Carraro
AU  - Matteo Cescon
AU  - Zhishui Chen
AU  - Olga Ciccarelli
AU  - Luciano G De Carlis
AU  - Fabrizio Di Benedetto
AU  - Burcin Ekser
AU  - Giuseppe M Ettorre
AU  - Deng Feiwen
AU  - Davide Ghinolfi
AU  - Michal J Grat
AU  - Salvatore Gruttadauria
AU  - Subhash Gupta
AU  - John Hammond
AU  - Xiaoshun He
AU  - Zemin Hu
AU  - Takashi Ito
AU  - Sunhawit Junrungsee
AU  - Mickael Lesurtel
AU  - Laura Llado
AU  - Jean Y Mabrut
AU  - Daniel Maluf
AU  - Vincenzo Mazzaferro
AU  - Gilberto A Mejia
AU  - Artem Monakhov
AU  - Silvio Nadalin
AU  - Brian M Nguyen
AU  - Nghia Q Nguyen
AU  - Bunthoon Noonthasoot
AU  - Madhukar S Patel
AU  - Thamara Perera
AU  - Marcos V Perini
AU  - Domenico Pinelli
AU  - Carlo Pulitano
AU  - Renato Romagnoli
AU  - Massimo Rossi
AU  - Ephrem Salame
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/29
JO  - The Lancet regional health. Europe
DO  - 10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101889
UR  - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42999582
AB  - Outcome variability in liver transplantation remains globally driven by differences in donor-recipient characteristics and in risk-mitigation strategies. Prediction models lack geographic balance and fail to account for current disease classification and advanced organ preservation methods. The IMPROVEMENT study (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05289609) aimed to characterise the donor-recipient risks and to develop and validate global prognostic algorithms (mortality and complication rate). This non-competitive, international, cohort study involved 61 centres across Europe, Asia, North and South America, Oceania. Centres provided 83 balanced data series. 5218 patients were enroled in retrospective (2017-2019) and/or prospective (2022-2023) cohorts to avoid COVID-19 confounding. A four-step analytical hierarchy process (world maps, radar graphs, donor versus recipient risk plot, and mixed-effects generalised models) enables visualisation of risk propensity, namely, "aggressiveness", and risk-mitigation balance, namely "coverage adequacy". Outcome measures were 90-, 365-, and 730-day mortality and high complication rates. Overall survival rates at 90 days, 1 year and 5 years were 93, 90 and 80, respectively. Predictors of mortality included recipient age, CAD, pre-operative complex portal thrombosis, preoperative ventilatory life support, MASLD, MELD 3.0 > 30, packed red blood transfusions (PRBC), and cold ischaemia time ≥360 min. The high complication rate resulted dependent from preoperative ventilatory life support, complex portal thrombosis, TIPS and PRBC. Notably, donor factors had a low impact on outcomes, reflecting successful donor-recipient matching and new graft perfusion modalities. Transplant at high-volume centres (>65 transplants/year) was a significant protective factor (mortality and complication rates). C-statistics of 90-day mortality and high complication rate models were 0.78 and 0.77, respectively. The IMPROVEMENT study shows that, unlike before, recipient and system-level factors now appear to account for the largest proportion of outcome variability. Implementing risk-mitigation strategies can offset high-risk profiles. These findings provide a robust framework for equitable health resource allocation and clinical decision-making worldwide. Italian Ministry of Health #RF-2021-12372422 grant.
SN  - 2666-7762
ER  -