Regional and national variation in donor and recipient characteristics, transplant practice, and outcomes after liver transplantation (the IMPROVEMENT collaborative): a multicentre cohort study.
40 affiliations
- 1General Surgery and Transplantation Unit, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
- 2Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.
- 3General Surgery and Organ Transplantation Unit, Department of General and Specialist Surgery and Anesthesiology, Sapienza University of Rome, Policlinico Umberto I, Rome, Italy.
- 4Gastroenterology, Department of Surgery, Oncology and Gastroenterology, Padua University Hospital, Padua, Italy.
- 5Department of Surgical, Oncological and Gastroenterological Sciences, University of Padua, Padua, Italy & General Surgery and Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, Padua University Hospital, Padua, Italy.
- 6MAYO Clinic, Jacksonville, FL, USA.
- 7Cirugía Hepato-Bilio-Pancreática, Transplante Hepático, Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires, Buenos Aires, Argentina.
- 8Hamamatsu Rosai Hospital, Shogen-cho, Chuoku, Hamamatsu, Shizuoka, Japan.
- 9Hepatobiliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, Cruces University Hospital, University of the Basque Country, Biobizkaia Health Research Institute, Bilbao, Spain.
- 10Organ Transplant Center, The First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China.
- 11Transplant Division, Department of Surgery, University of Massachusetts, Worcester, MA, USA.
- 12Division of Transplantation Surgery, CLINTEC, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
- 13Division of HPB and Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Erasmus MC Transplant Institute, University MC Rotterdam, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.
- 14Department of Liver Transplantation, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA.
- 15Dr. Rela Institute & Medical Centre, Chennai, India.
- 16Multiorgan Transplantation, Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Canada.
- 17Liver Transplant Division, Hospital Santa Isabel, Blumenau, Brazil.
- 18Federal University of Parana, Blumenau, Brazil.
- 19Liver Transplant Unit Department of Medicine University of Udine, ASUFC-Udine, Italy.
- 20Department of Surgery and Transplantation, Bahcesehir University School of Medicine, Medical Park Goztepe Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey.
- 21New Zealand Liver Transplant Unit - Te Toka Tumai, Auckland City Hospital, Auckland, New Zealand.
- 22Liver Transplantation Unit, University of Campinas-UNICAMP, San Paolo, Brazil.
- 23Department of General, Visceral-, Abdominal-, Transplantation and Pediatric Surgery, University Hospital Schleswig-Holstein Campus Kiel, Kiel, Germany.
- 24Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico di Milano - SC Chirurgia Generale e Trapianti di Fegato, Milan, Italy.
- 25Liver Transplant Unit, University Hospital Trust of Verona, Verona, Italy.
- 26Hepatobiliary Surgery and Transplant Unit, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy & Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
- 27Institute of Organ Transplantation, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, China.
- 28Service de Chirurgie et Transplantation Abdominale, Cliniques Universitaires Saint-Luc, Louvain, Belgium.
- 29General Surgery and Abdominal Transplantation Unit, University of Milano-Bicocca and Niguarda-CàGranda Hospital, Milan, Italy.
- 30Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy.
- 31Division of Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Indiana University, Indianapolis, IN, USA.
- 32Division of Transplant Surgery, Department of Surgery, Stritch School of Medicine, Loyola University Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
- 33Department of General Surgery and Transplantation Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera San Camillo Forlanini, Rome, Italy.
- 34Department of Hepatopancreatic Surgery, First People's Hospital of Foshan, Foshan, China.
- 35Division of Hepatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria Pisana, Pisa, Italy.
- 36Department of General, Transplant and Liver Surgery, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland.
- 37IRCCS ISMETT, Palermo, Italy & Department of General Surgery and Medical-Surgical Specialities, Catania, Italy.
- 38Department of Liver Transplant and HPB Surgeries, Max Super Speciality Hospital, Saket, New Delhi, India.
- 39HPB and Transplant Surgery, Newcastle Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle, UK.
- 40General Surgery 1, Zhongshan People's Hospital, Zhongshan, China.
Abstract
Outcome variability in liver transplantation remains globally driven by differences in donor-recipient characteristics and in risk-mitigation strategies. Prediction models lack geographic balance and fail to account for current disease classification and advanced organ preservation methods. The IMPROVEMENT study (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05289609) aimed to characterise the donor-recipient risks and to develop and validate global prognostic algorithms (mortality and complication rate). This non-competitive, international, cohort study involved 61 centres across Europe, Asia, North and South America, Oceania. Centres provided 83 balanced data series. 5218 patients were enroled in retrospective (2017-2019) and/or prospective (2022-2023) cohorts to avoid COVID-19 confounding. A four-step analytical hierarchy process (world maps, radar graphs, donor versus recipient risk plot, and mixed-effects generalised models) enables visualisation of risk propensity, namely, "aggressiveness", and risk-mitigation balance, namely "coverage adequacy". Outcome measures were 90-, 365-, and 730-day mortality and high complication rates. Overall survival rates at 90 days, 1 year and 5 years were 93, 90 and 80, respectively. Predictors of mortality included recipient age, CAD, pre-operative complex portal thrombosis, preoperative ventilatory life support, MASLD, MELD 3.0 > 30, packed red blood transfusions (PRBC), and cold ischaemia time ≥360 min. The high complication rate resulted dependent from preoperative ventilatory life support, complex portal thrombosis, TIPS and PRBC. Notably, donor factors had a low impact on outcomes, reflecting successful donor-recipient matching and new graft perfusion modalities. Transplant at high-volume centres (>65 transplants/year) was a significant protective factor (mortality and complication rates). C-statistics of 90-day mortality and high complication rate models were 0.78 and 0.77, respectively. The IMPROVEMENT study shows that, unlike before, recipient and system-level factors now appear to account for the largest proportion of outcome variability. Implementing risk-mitigation strategies can offset high-risk profiles. These findings provide a robust framework for equitable health resource allocation and clinical decision-making worldwide. Italian Ministry of Health #RF-2021-12372422 grant.
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BibTeX
@article{avolio2026regional,
title = {{Regional and national variation in donor and recipient characteristics, transplant practice, and outcomes after liver transplantation (the IMPROVEMENT collaborative): a multicentre cohort study.}},
author = {Alfonso W Avolio and Marco M Pascale and Quirino Lai and Patrizia Burra and Umberto Cillo and Kristopher P Croome and Martin De Santibanes and Hiroto Egawa and Mikel M Gastaca and Zhiyong Guo and Paulo N Martins and Gabriel C Oniscu and Wojciech G Polak and Cristiano Quintini and Mohamed Rela and Gonzalo Sapisochin and Julio C Wiederkehr and Umberto Baccarani and Deniz Balci and Louise A Barbier and Ilka de Fatima Santana Ferreira Boin and Felix Braun and Lucio Caccamo and Amedeo Carraro and Matteo Cescon and Zhishui Chen and Olga Ciccarelli and Luciano G De Carlis and Fabrizio Di Benedetto and Burcin Ekser and Giuseppe M Ettorre and Deng Feiwen and Davide Ghinolfi and Michal J Grat and Salvatore Gruttadauria and Subhash Gupta and John Hammond and Xiaoshun He and Zemin Hu and Takashi Ito and Sunhawit Junrungsee and Mickael Lesurtel and Laura Llado and Jean Y Mabrut and Daniel Maluf and Vincenzo Mazzaferro and Gilberto A Mejia and Artem Monakhov and Silvio Nadalin and Brian M Nguyen and Nghia Q Nguyen and Bunthoon Noonthasoot and Madhukar S Patel and Thamara Perera and Marcos V Perini and Domenico Pinelli and Carlo Pulitano and Renato Romagnoli and Massimo Rossi and Ephrem Salame},
journal = {The Lancet regional health. Europe},
year = {2026},
month = oct,
doi = {10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101889},
url = {https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42999582},
note = {CC BY-NC-ND},
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
TI - Regional and national variation in donor and recipient characteristics, transplant practice, and outcomes after liver transplantation (the IMPROVEMENT collaborative): a multicentre cohort study.
AU - Alfonso W Avolio
AU - Marco M Pascale
AU - Quirino Lai
AU - Patrizia Burra
AU - Umberto Cillo
AU - Kristopher P Croome
AU - Martin De Santibanes
AU - Hiroto Egawa
AU - Mikel M Gastaca
AU - Zhiyong Guo
AU - Paulo N Martins
AU - Gabriel C Oniscu
AU - Wojciech G Polak
AU - Cristiano Quintini
AU - Mohamed Rela
AU - Gonzalo Sapisochin
AU - Julio C Wiederkehr
AU - Umberto Baccarani
AU - Deniz Balci
AU - Louise A Barbier
AU - Ilka de Fatima Santana Ferreira Boin
AU - Felix Braun
AU - Lucio Caccamo
AU - Amedeo Carraro
AU - Matteo Cescon
AU - Zhishui Chen
AU - Olga Ciccarelli
AU - Luciano G De Carlis
AU - Fabrizio Di Benedetto
AU - Burcin Ekser
AU - Giuseppe M Ettorre
AU - Deng Feiwen
AU - Davide Ghinolfi
AU - Michal J Grat
AU - Salvatore Gruttadauria
AU - Subhash Gupta
AU - John Hammond
AU - Xiaoshun He
AU - Zemin Hu
AU - Takashi Ito
AU - Sunhawit Junrungsee
AU - Mickael Lesurtel
AU - Laura Llado
AU - Jean Y Mabrut
AU - Daniel Maluf
AU - Vincenzo Mazzaferro
AU - Gilberto A Mejia
AU - Artem Monakhov
AU - Silvio Nadalin
AU - Brian M Nguyen
AU - Nghia Q Nguyen
AU - Bunthoon Noonthasoot
AU - Madhukar S Patel
AU - Thamara Perera
AU - Marcos V Perini
AU - Domenico Pinelli
AU - Carlo Pulitano
AU - Renato Romagnoli
AU - Massimo Rossi
AU - Ephrem Salame
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/10/29
JO - The Lancet regional health. Europe
DO - 10.1016/j.lanepe.2026.101889
UR - https://europepmc.org/article/MED/42999582
AB - Outcome variability in liver transplantation remains globally driven by differences in donor-recipient characteristics and in risk-mitigation strategies. Prediction models lack geographic balance and fail to account for current disease classification and advanced organ preservation methods. The IMPROVEMENT study (ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05289609) aimed to characterise the donor-recipient risks and to develop and validate global prognostic algorithms (mortality and complication rate). This non-competitive, international, cohort study involved 61 centres across Europe, Asia, North and South America, Oceania. Centres provided 83 balanced data series. 5218 patients were enroled in retrospective (2017-2019) and/or prospective (2022-2023) cohorts to avoid COVID-19 confounding. A four-step analytical hierarchy process (world maps, radar graphs, donor versus recipient risk plot, and mixed-effects generalised models) enables visualisation of risk propensity, namely, "aggressiveness", and risk-mitigation balance, namely "coverage adequacy". Outcome measures were 90-, 365-, and 730-day mortality and high complication rates. Overall survival rates at 90 days, 1 year and 5 years were 93, 90 and 80, respectively. Predictors of mortality included recipient age, CAD, pre-operative complex portal thrombosis, preoperative ventilatory life support, MASLD, MELD 3.0 > 30, packed red blood transfusions (PRBC), and cold ischaemia time ≥360 min. The high complication rate resulted dependent from preoperative ventilatory life support, complex portal thrombosis, TIPS and PRBC. Notably, donor factors had a low impact on outcomes, reflecting successful donor-recipient matching and new graft perfusion modalities. Transplant at high-volume centres (>65 transplants/year) was a significant protective factor (mortality and complication rates). C-statistics of 90-day mortality and high complication rate models were 0.78 and 0.77, respectively. The IMPROVEMENT study shows that, unlike before, recipient and system-level factors now appear to account for the largest proportion of outcome variability. Implementing risk-mitigation strategies can offset high-risk profiles. These findings provide a robust framework for equitable health resource allocation and clinical decision-making worldwide. Italian Ministry of Health #RF-2021-12372422 grant.
SN - 2666-7762
ER -