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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Extreme Binary Classification: Extreme Value Theory for Extreme Constraint on False Negative

Abstract

While binary classification is one of the most extensively studied problems in machine learning, the regime in which the goal is to learn a classifier with an almost zero false negative rate remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we introduce the Extreme Binary Classification problem, where the objective is to learn a classifier whose false negative rate α is constrained by εN1=oN1→∞(1/N1), with N1 denoting the number of positive examples in the training set. To address this problem, we propose a threshold adaptation method theoretically grounded in guarantees derived from Extreme Value Theory, together with a feature selection procedure based on a permutation test applied to sample maxima. Experimental results on four real-world datasets of varying sizes demonstrate that our approach compares favorably with state-of-the-art methods. In addition, we illustrate its interpretability through an application to a cancer screening dataset.

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BibTeX
@misc{gruffaz2026extreme,
  title = {{Extreme Binary Classification: Extreme Value Theory for Extreme Constraint on False Negative}},
  author = {Samuel Gruffaz and Muhammad Fawad and Jaakko Nevalainen},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.09984},
  eprint = {2610.09984},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.09984},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Extreme Binary Classification: Extreme Value Theory for Extreme Constraint on False Negative
AU  - Samuel Gruffaz
AU  - Muhammad Fawad
AU  - Jaakko Nevalainen
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/07
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.09984
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.09984
AB  - While binary classification is one of the most extensively studied problems in machine learning, the regime in which the goal is to learn a classifier with an almost zero false negative rate remains largely unexplored. In this paper, we introduce the Extreme Binary Classification problem, where the objective is to learn a classifier whose false negative rate α is constrained by ε_N_1=o_N_1→∞(1/N_1), with N_1 denoting the number of positive examples in the training set. To address this problem, we propose a threshold adaptation method theoretically grounded in guarantees derived from Extreme Value Theory, together with a feature selection procedure based on a permutation test applied to sample maxima. Experimental results on four real-world datasets of varying sizes demonstrate that our approach compares favorably with state-of-the-art methods. In addition, we illustrate its interpretability through an application to a cancer screening dataset.
ER  -