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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

Model-independent and reconstruction-free evidence for cosmic acceleration from DESI baryon acoustic oscillations

Abstract

While there is ample evidence that the universe's expansion is accelerating, most of this evidence relies on assuming a shape of the relative expansion rate, H(z)/H0, informed by a cosmological model or a kinematical approach. Model-independent analyses are common for supernova datasets but rarely applied to other data. In this work, we use uncalibrated baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) from DESI DR2 for a model-independent test of acceleration, which makes no assumptions about the theory of gravity or the energy content of the universe. We test for cosmic acceleration with three model-independent statistics that rely purely on the measured Alcock-Paczyński parameter, the isotropic BAO, and the line-of-sight BAO, and do not require any reconstruction between redshift bins unlike previous analyses. Accounting for the look-elsewhere effect, among all statistics we find 2.4σ - 4.1σ evidence for cosmic acceleration within 0 ≤ z ≤ 0.934 when assuming flatness; allowing for spatial curvature, |Ωk| ≤ 1, at least two of the three statistics retain 2.4σ - 3.5σ.

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BibTeX
@misc{herold2026modelindependent,
  title = {{Model-independent and reconstruction-free evidence for cosmic acceleration from DESI baryon acoustic oscillations}},
  author = {Laura Herold and Graeme E. Addison and Adam G. Riess},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.40785},
  eprint = {2610.40785},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.40785},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Model-independent and reconstruction-free evidence for cosmic acceleration from DESI baryon acoustic oscillations
AU  - Laura Herold
AU  - Graeme E. Addison
AU  - Adam G. Riess
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/29
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.40785
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.40785
AB  - While there is ample evidence that the universe's expansion is accelerating, most of this evidence relies on assuming a shape of the relative expansion rate, H(z)/H_0, informed by a cosmological model or a kinematical approach. Model-independent analyses are common for supernova datasets but rarely applied to other data. In this work, we use uncalibrated baryon acoustic oscillations (BAO) from DESI DR2 for a model-independent test of acceleration, which makes no assumptions about the theory of gravity or the energy content of the universe. We test for cosmic acceleration with three model-independent statistics that rely purely on the measured Alcock-Paczyński parameter, the isotropic BAO, and the line-of-sight BAO, and do not require any reconstruction between redshift bins unlike previous analyses. Accounting for the look-elsewhere effect, among all statistics we find 2.4σ - 4.1σ evidence for cosmic acceleration within 0 ≤ z ≤ 0.934 when assuming flatness; allowing for spatial curvature, |Ω_k| ≤ 1, at least two of the three statistics retain 2.4σ - 3.5σ.
ER  -