Bridging local decisions and regional forest strategies under climate risks: a flexibility-based optimization framework
Abstract
Key messageClimate change narrows viable management alternatives in the Landes de Gascogne Forest. By testing a wide range of management regimes under contrasting climate and risk scenarios, we show that the capacity of timber damage varies across the landscape. Identifying where flexible, low-risk regimes can still sustain carbon sequestration helps decision-makers select robust strategies that reconcile local limits with regional planning needs.ContextRegional forest management integrates diverse forest types and objectives, yet the impacts of climate change at sub-regional scales and identifying suitable management regimes for mitigation require further investigation.AimsWe align regional strategies with site-specific constraints by assessing how maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) management in the Landes de Gascogne Forest can reconcile local climatic limitations with regional production goals. We aim to identify local management flexibility and quantify the resulting trade-offs with regional carbon sequestration and carbon export under contrasted scenarios.MethodsOur cross-scale framework integrated 8×\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}×\end{document}8 km climate projections with process-based forest simulations. Using multi-objective optimization, we explored how the set of feasible management alternatives changes across space under different climate scenarios and disturbance risks.ResultsClimate change consistently reduced service provision supply across scenarios. Under the most worst-case scenario, regional outcomes depended on the ability of local management regimes to mitigate risk, up to thresholds beyond which no current regimes remained viable. Climate effects amplified spatial disparities, reinforcing productivity in the southwest while increasing water limitations in eastern areas. Sub-regional flexibility emerged as a key lever to buffer losses in carbon-related services.ConclusionThis framework links local decision-making capacity with regional constraints, supporting adaptive, climate-informed forest planning.
Related
- Bridging soil resistome and clinical inference: A four-tier evidentiary framework
- Economic optimization of irrigation decisions using water productivity for crop selection in western Transdanubia
- A Frequency-Aware Dynamic Knowledge Distillation Framework: An Effective Tool for Bridging Low- and High-Frequency Seismic Information
- Optimization of UV-C irradiation time for biologically treated saline wastewater using artificial neural networks and a hybrid multi-criteria decision-making framework
- A Probabilistic Framework for Site-Specific Tropical Cyclone Loss Quantification and Reinsurance Optimization
BibTeX
@article{labarre2026bridging,
title = {{Bridging local decisions and regional forest strategies under climate risks: a flexibility-based optimization framework}},
author = {Clémence Labarre and Babooshka Shavazipour and Denis Loustau and Jean-Christophe Domec},
journal = {Annals of Forest Science},
year = {2026},
month = aug,
doi = {10.1186/s13595-026-01355-5},
url = {https://hal.science/hal-05731876v1},
note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY - JOUR
TI - Bridging local decisions and regional forest strategies under climate risks: a flexibility-based optimization framework
AU - Clémence Labarre
AU - Babooshka Shavazipour
AU - Denis Loustau
AU - Jean-Christophe Domec
PY - 2026
DA - 2026/08/31
JO - Annals of Forest Science
DO - 10.1186/s13595-026-01355-5
UR - https://hal.science/hal-05731876v1
AB - Key messageClimate change narrows viable management alternatives in the Landes de Gascogne Forest. By testing a wide range of management regimes under contrasting climate and risk scenarios, we show that the capacity of timber damage varies across the landscape. Identifying where flexible, low-risk regimes can still sustain carbon sequestration helps decision-makers select robust strategies that reconcile local limits with regional planning needs.ContextRegional forest management integrates diverse forest types and objectives, yet the impacts of climate change at sub-regional scales and identifying suitable management regimes for mitigation require further investigation.AimsWe align regional strategies with site-specific constraints by assessing how maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Ait.) management in the Landes de Gascogne Forest can reconcile local climatic limitations with regional production goals. We aim to identify local management flexibility and quantify the resulting trade-offs with regional carbon sequestration and carbon export under contrasted scenarios.MethodsOur cross-scale framework integrated 8×\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}×\end{document}8 km climate projections with process-based forest simulations. Using multi-objective optimization, we explored how the set of feasible management alternatives changes across space under different climate scenarios and disturbance risks.ResultsClimate change consistently reduced service provision supply across scenarios. Under the most worst-case scenario, regional outcomes depended on the ability of local management regimes to mitigate risk, up to thresholds beyond which no current regimes remained viable. Climate effects amplified spatial disparities, reinforcing productivity in the southwest while increasing water limitations in eastern areas. Sub-regional flexibility emerged as a key lever to buffer losses in carbon-related services.ConclusionThis framework links local decision-making capacity with regional constraints, supporting adaptive, climate-informed forest planning.
SN - 1286-4560
SN - 1297-966X
ER -