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PreprintarXiv licencearXiv

Local Limit Theorem for Branching Processes in Varying Environments

Abstract

Let Zi,n be the population at time n descended from one particle at time i in a branching process in a varying environment. Under two-sided bounds on products of offspring means, an integrable uniform second-moment tail condition, and nondegeneracy and unit positive-support gcd of all weak limits, we prove ℙ(Zi,n=k)≤ C(n−i+1)−2 uniformly in 0≤ i<n and k≥1, and obtain a local limit theorem as n−i,k→∞ with k≤ L0(n−i), without third-moment assumptions. These results extend the classical local probability estimates for critical Galton--Watson processes to varying environments.

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BibTeX
@misc{xia2026local,
  title = {{Local Limit Theorem for Branching Processes in Varying Environments}},
  author = {Zhiyang Xia and Mei Zhang},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = nov,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2611.01455},
  eprint = {2611.01455},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.01455},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Local Limit Theorem for Branching Processes in Varying Environments
AU  - Zhiyang Xia
AU  - Mei Zhang
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/11/01
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2611.01455
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2611.01455
AB  - Let Z_i,n be the population at time n descended from one particle at time i in a branching process in a varying environment. Under two-sided bounds on products of offspring means, an integrable uniform second-moment tail condition, and nondegeneracy and unit positive-support gcd of all weak limits, we prove ℙ(Z_i,n=k)≤ C(n−i+1)^−2 uniformly in 0≤ i<n and k≥1, and obtain a local limit theorem as n−i,k→∞ with k≤ L_0(n−i), without third-moment assumptions. These results extend the classical local probability estimates for critical Galton--Watson processes to varying environments.
ER  -