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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

The Zero Pattern of a Design Matrix Drives Multiple Descent in Over-parameterized Regression

Abstract

Over-parameterized linear regression has been widely studied over the last decade. However, most existing works assume that the covariates are independent and that their covariance matrices are non-degenerate. In this paper, we relax both assumptions and derive deterministic equivalents for the prediction risk in a vanishing-ridge regime. We show that degeneracy of the covariance matrices and dependence can lead to multiple descent, and characterize where the corresponding peaks can occur. Our proofs use a novel graph representation of the variance profile. We show that maximum matchings and the Dulmage--Mendelsohn decomposition of the associated bipartite graph identify the configurations at which the variance becomes singular.

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BibTeX
@misc{huang2026zero,
  title = {{The Zero Pattern of a Design Matrix Drives Multiple Descent in Over-parameterized Regression}},
  author = {Kevin Han Huang and Haoyu Ye and Somak Laha and Morgane Austern},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2607.24041},
  eprint = {2607.24041},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.24041},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - The Zero Pattern of a Design Matrix Drives Multiple Descent in Over-parameterized Regression
AU  - Kevin Han Huang
AU  - Haoyu Ye
AU  - Somak Laha
AU  - Morgane Austern
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/14
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2607.24041
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.24041
AB  - Over-parameterized linear regression has been widely studied over the last decade. However, most existing works assume that the covariates are independent and that their covariance matrices are non-degenerate. In this paper, we relax both assumptions and derive deterministic equivalents for the prediction risk in a vanishing-ridge regime. We show that degeneracy of the covariance matrices and dependence can lead to multiple descent, and characterize where the corresponding peaks can occur. Our proofs use a novel graph representation of the variance profile. We show that maximum matchings and the Dulmage--Mendelsohn decomposition of the associated bipartite graph identify the configurations at which the variance becomes singular.
ER  -