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PreprintCC BYChemRxiv

TAPERSS-MoCa: A Physics-Based Monte Carlo Framework for 3D RNA Structure Prediction from Sequence

4 affiliations
  1. 1Department of Chemistry and Biochemistry
  2. 2Florida Atlantic University
  3. 3Department of Chemistry
  4. 4Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Abstract

Ribonucleic acid (RNA) function is intrinsically linked to its three-dimensional architecture, yet experimental structure determination remains challenging. Here, we introduce TAPERSS-MoCa (Theoretical Analyses, Prediction, and Evaluation of RNA Structures from Sequence using a Monte-Carlo Simulator), a physics-based fragment assembly framework for predicting RNA tertiary structures directly from sequence. By utilizing a novel fragment library grounded in dinucleoside monophosphate (DNMP) energetics parameterized via Discrete Path Sampling (DPS), TAPERSS-MoCa efficiently samples low-energy conformational landscapes. Evaluated across 6-, 10-, and 12-nucleotide RNA test sets, TAPERSS-MoCa consistently recovers native-like global minima with canonical Watson–Crick base pairs adopting near-planar geometry. By combining dinucleoside fragment energetics with an angularly constrained hydrogen-bonding potential, TAPERSS-MoCa accurately captures A-form structures in 6-nucleotide linear RNAs, outperforming traditional fragment-assembly algorithms that frequently misfold these flexible sequences. Thermodynamic evaluations based on ensemble partition functions (Δ G folding ) and macrostate basin free energies (Δ F folding ) demonstrate strong predictive performance for rigid, well-stacked GNRA tetraloops. Furthermore, TAPERSS-MoCa systematically reproduces key physical stability trends predicted by empirical nearest-neighbor models. This physics-based approach provides a robust platform for structural prediction and thermodynamic profiling of short RNA motifs, supporting RNA-targeted drug discovery and functional design.

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BibTeX
@misc{ibrahim2026taperssmoca,
  title = {{TAPERSS-MoCa: A Physics-Based Monte Carlo Framework for 3D RNA Structure Prediction from Sequence}},
  author = {Mariam Ibrahim and Ivan Issac Riveros and Nanayakkara P.N.R. Kumarachchi and Ilyas Yildirim},
  howpublished = {ChemRxiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.26434/chemrxiv.15010570/v1},
  url = {https://chemrxiv.org/doi/full/10.26434/chemrxiv.15010570/v1},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - TAPERSS-MoCa: A Physics-Based Monte Carlo Framework for 3D RNA Structure Prediction from Sequence
AU  - Mariam Ibrahim
AU  - Ivan Issac Riveros
AU  - Nanayakkara P.N.R. Kumarachchi
AU  - Ilyas Yildirim
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/16
PB  - ChemRxiv
DO  - 10.26434/chemrxiv.15010570/v1
UR  - https://chemrxiv.org/doi/full/10.26434/chemrxiv.15010570/v1
AB  - Ribonucleic acid (RNA) function is intrinsically linked to its three-dimensional architecture, yet experimental structure determination remains challenging. Here, we introduce TAPERSS-MoCa (Theoretical Analyses, Prediction, and Evaluation of RNA Structures from Sequence using a Monte-Carlo Simulator), a physics-based fragment assembly framework for predicting RNA tertiary structures directly from sequence. By utilizing a novel fragment library grounded in dinucleoside monophosphate (DNMP) energetics parameterized via Discrete Path Sampling (DPS), TAPERSS-MoCa efficiently samples low-energy conformational landscapes. Evaluated across 6-, 10-, and 12-nucleotide RNA test sets, TAPERSS-MoCa consistently recovers native-like global minima with canonical Watson–Crick base pairs adopting near-planar geometry. By combining dinucleoside fragment energetics with an angularly constrained hydrogen-bonding potential, TAPERSS-MoCa accurately captures A-form structures in 6-nucleotide linear RNAs, outperforming traditional fragment-assembly algorithms that frequently misfold these flexible sequences. Thermodynamic evaluations based on ensemble partition functions (Δ G folding ) and macrostate basin free energies (Δ F folding ) demonstrate strong predictive performance for rigid, well-stacked GNRA tetraloops. Furthermore, TAPERSS-MoCa systematically reproduces key physical stability trends predicted by empirical nearest-neighbor models. This physics-based approach provides a robust platform for structural prediction and thermodynamic profiling of short RNA motifs, supporting RNA-targeted drug discovery and functional design.
ER  -