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PreprintarXiv licencearXiv

QML-PipeGuard: Detecting Channel-Substitution Attacks on Quantum Machine Learning Pipelines in Untrusted Clouds

Abstract

As machine-learning workloads move onto quantum hardware they inherit a trust problem classical AI deployments have largely solved and quantum ones have not: quantum machine learning (QML) is already sold as a cloud service, and a customer cannot check that the circuit they paid for is actually the circuit that ran. We show the gap is exploitable. A malicious or cost-cutting provider can substitute the declared quantum channel with one that reproduces every accuracy test the customer performs, passes the single-observable checks used in practice, and still differs from the declared computation at the channel level. We call this a channel-substitution attack and instantiate it in three deployments: audit evasion, service downgrade, and result forgery in reproducibility review. QML-PipeGuard detects the attack at runtime from measurement statistics the customer already collects. Its guarantee is two-sided, stated in the distance a local verifier measures: any substitution shifting a single-qubit output marginal by δ in trace norm forces a contract deviation of at least δ/√3, the constant tight and independent of qubit count; the guarantee is relative to the chosen observable family and reference-input set. For local-unitary substitutions the adversary's blind set is characterised exactly, as a commutation condition, which gives the defender a rule for choosing challenge inputs that shrinks it. A finite-shot budget rule bounds false accepts and false alarms at once, one tolerance separates attack from the benign drift observed here, and every decision enters a hash-anchored audit trail. On an IBM Heron r2 processor a substituted quantum-kernel intrusion-detection pipeline evades the weak contract and our verifier halts it, while the honest channel stays within tolerance.

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BibTeX
@misc{yeniaras2026qmlpipeguard,
  title = {{QML-PipeGuard: Detecting Channel-Substitution Attacks on Quantum Machine Learning Pipelines in Untrusted Clouds}},
  author = {Esra Yeniaras},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2605.25066},
  eprint = {2605.25066},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.25066},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - QML-PipeGuard: Detecting Channel-Substitution Attacks on Quantum Machine Learning Pipelines in Untrusted Clouds
AU  - Esra Yeniaras
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/20
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2605.25066
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.25066
AB  - As machine-learning workloads move onto quantum hardware they inherit a trust problem classical AI deployments have largely solved and quantum ones have not: quantum machine learning (QML) is already sold as a cloud service, and a customer cannot check that the circuit they paid for is actually the circuit that ran. We show the gap is exploitable. A malicious or cost-cutting provider can substitute the declared quantum channel with one that reproduces every accuracy test the customer performs, passes the single-observable checks used in practice, and still differs from the declared computation at the channel level. We call this a channel-substitution attack and instantiate it in three deployments: audit evasion, service downgrade, and result forgery in reproducibility review. QML-PipeGuard detects the attack at runtime from measurement statistics the customer already collects. Its guarantee is two-sided, stated in the distance a local verifier measures: any substitution shifting a single-qubit output marginal by δ in trace norm forces a contract deviation of at least δ/√3, the constant tight and independent of qubit count; the guarantee is relative to the chosen observable family and reference-input set. For local-unitary substitutions the adversary's blind set is characterised exactly, as a commutation condition, which gives the defender a rule for choosing challenge inputs that shrinks it. A finite-shot budget rule bounds false accepts and false alarms at once, one tolerance separates attack from the benign drift observed here, and every decision enters a hash-anchored audit trail. On an IBM Heron r2 processor a substituted quantum-kernel intrusion-detection pipeline evades the weak contract and our verifier halts it, while the honest channel stays within tolerance.
ER  -