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A finite-graph conjecture related to θ(pc)=0 for Bernoulli bond percolation on ℤd

Abstract

We introduce a conjecture for Bernoulli bond percolation on finite graphs. Roughly speaking, it asserts that if each boundary vertex is associated with a highly probable event that is increasing with respect to the percolation configuration, then, conditionally on the origin being connected to the boundary, the origin is likely to be connected to a boundary vertex whose associated event occurs. The conjecture implies a high-probability connectivity statement which is known to imply θ(pc)=0 for Bernoulli bond percolation on ℤd, for every d≥2. We prove the conjecture for finite planar graphs when the origin and the boundary vertices lie on the outer-face boundary, with the explicit bound 1−2√ε. The proof combines a left-first depth-first exploration with a partial FKG inequality adapted to monotonicity up to a stopping time. A counterexample shows that the connectivity structure is essential: the analogous statement fails when the connectivity events are replaced by arbitrary increasing events.

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BibTeX
@misc{flammant2026finitegraph,
  title = {{A finite-graph conjecture related to $θ(p_c)=0$ for Bernoulli bond percolation on $\mathbb Z^d$}},
  author = {Lucas Flammant},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.03492},
  eprint = {2609.03492},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.03492},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - A finite-graph conjecture related to θ(p_c)=0 for Bernoulli bond percolation on ℤ^d
AU  - Lucas Flammant
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/04
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.03492
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.03492
AB  - We introduce a conjecture for Bernoulli bond percolation on finite graphs. Roughly speaking, it asserts that if each boundary vertex is associated with a highly probable event that is increasing with respect to the percolation configuration, then, conditionally on the origin being connected to the boundary, the origin is likely to be connected to a boundary vertex whose associated event occurs. The conjecture implies a high-probability connectivity statement which is known to imply θ(p_c)=0 for Bernoulli bond percolation on ℤ^d, for every d≥2. We prove the conjecture for finite planar graphs when the origin and the boundary vertices lie on the outer-face boundary, with the explicit bound 1−2√ε. The proof combines a left-first depth-first exploration with a partial FKG inequality adapted to monotonicity up to a stopping time. A counterexample shows that the connectivity structure is essential: the analogous statement fails when the connectivity events are replaced by arbitrary increasing events.
ER  -