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PreprintarXiv licencearXiv

Target Trial Emulation with the R Package TTE: A Tutorial and Methodological Guide

Abstract

Target trial emulation structures observational causal analyses around the protocol of an ideal randomized trial. By aligning eligibility, treatment assignment, time zero, and follow-up, it can reduce avoidable biases, but implementation still requires coordinated decisions about data construction, inverse probability weighting, diagnostics, outcome models, standardization, competing risks, and uncertainty estimation. This article provides a self-contained methodological guide and practical tutorial for TTE, an R package for target trial emulations with longitudinal observational data. We describe target trial protocols, intention-to-treat and per-protocol estimands, identification assumptions, baseline and person-period data structures, temporal ordering for longitudinal weights, stabilized treatment and censoring weights, weight truncation, balance and effective-sample-size diagnostics, weighted pooled discrete-time survival models, model-based standardization, competing-risk analysis, weighted Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen estimation, and cluster bootstrap at the original-individual level. Two fully synthetic examples illustrate end-to-end workflows: sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor initiation with all-cause death, and sequentially nested angiotensin receptor blocker versus calcium channel blocker trials with heart-failure hospitalization and competing death. The examples show how to obtain and diagnose estimates in R and interpret relative hazards, absolute risks, cumulative incidence, and differences between intention-to-treat and per-protocol effects.

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BibTeX
@misc{noma2026target,
  title = {{Target Trial Emulation with the R Package TTE: A Tutorial and Methodological Guide}},
  author = {Hisashi Noma},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = aug,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2608.01625},
  eprint = {2608.01625},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.01625},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Target Trial Emulation with the R Package TTE: A Tutorial and Methodological Guide
AU  - Hisashi Noma
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/08/28
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2608.01625
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.01625
AB  - Target trial emulation structures observational causal analyses around the protocol of an ideal randomized trial. By aligning eligibility, treatment assignment, time zero, and follow-up, it can reduce avoidable biases, but implementation still requires coordinated decisions about data construction, inverse probability weighting, diagnostics, outcome models, standardization, competing risks, and uncertainty estimation. This article provides a self-contained methodological guide and practical tutorial for TTE, an R package for target trial emulations with longitudinal observational data. We describe target trial protocols, intention-to-treat and per-protocol estimands, identification assumptions, baseline and person-period data structures, temporal ordering for longitudinal weights, stabilized treatment and censoring weights, weight truncation, balance and effective-sample-size diagnostics, weighted pooled discrete-time survival models, model-based standardization, competing-risk analysis, weighted Kaplan-Meier and Aalen-Johansen estimation, and cluster bootstrap at the original-individual level. Two fully synthetic examples illustrate end-to-end workflows: sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor versus dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitor initiation with all-cause death, and sequentially nested angiotensin receptor blocker versus calcium channel blocker trials with heart-failure hospitalization and competing death. The examples show how to obtain and diagnose estimates in R and interpret relative hazards, absolute risks, cumulative incidence, and differences between intention-to-treat and per-protocol effects.
ER  -