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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Frontiers in Pharmacology

CT habitat and peritumoral radiomics for predicting progression after repeat TACE in hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study

2 more authors
4 affiliations
  1. 1Department of Interventional Radiology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University
  2. 2Department of Central Sterile Supply, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University
  3. 3Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University
  4. 4Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University

Abstract

Background: This study developed and validated an machine-learning-based radiomics model integrating tumor habitat radiomics, peritumoral radiomics, and clinical features to predict progression-free survival (PFS) following repeat transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods: This retrospective multicenter study included 270 patients with HCC. Patients from Center 1 were assigned to training (n = 94) and internal validation (n = 41) cohorts, while Centers 2 (n = 82) and 3 (n = 53) served as external validation cohorts. Tumor habitats and 5-mm peritumoral regions were generated from contrast-enhanced CT images. Radiomics features were selected using univariate Cox and LASSO-Cox regression. A fusion model and HPC risk score were constructed by integrating selected radiomics signatures and clinical variables. Performance was assessed using time-dependent ROC, C-index, calibration, decision curve analysis, and Kaplan–Meier analyses.

Results: The optimal habitat cluster number was K = 2. Eleven habitat features, three peritumoral features, and alpha-fetoprotein were retained in the fusion model. The model achieved AUCs of 0.923, 0.921, and 0.897 for 3-, 6-, and 9-month progression-free survival in the training cohort, and 0.932, 0.863, and 0.916 in the internal validation cohort, respectively; all external AUCs exceeded 0.82. The fusion model showed higher C-index values than the clinical model across cohorts. High-risk patients had significantly shorter PFS than low-risk patients (all P < 0.001). Calibration and decision curve analyses demonstrated good agreement and clinical utility.

Conclusion: The CT-based fusion model and HPC risk score effectively predicted progression risk in HCC.

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BibTeX
@article{wang2026habitat,
  title = {{CT habitat and peritumoral radiomics for predicting progression after repeat TACE in hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study}},
  author = {Fei Wang and Yue Hu and Zhong-Xing Shi and Xin-Yu He and Yu-Hang Sui and Fu-Kai Wen and Jia-Shan Zhan and Ning-Jing Yang and Xue-Jing Han and Jia-Hui Wang and Jia-Yi Yang and Wen Lv and Hong-Fei Liu and Li-Ming Cui},
  journal = {Frontiers in Pharmacology},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.3389/fphar.2026.1942002},
  url = {https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2026.1942002/full},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - CT habitat and peritumoral radiomics for predicting progression after repeat TACE in hepatocellular carcinoma: a multicenter study
AU  - Fei Wang
AU  - Yue Hu
AU  - Zhong-Xing Shi
AU  - Xin-Yu He
AU  - Yu-Hang Sui
AU  - Fu-Kai Wen
AU  - Jia-Shan Zhan
AU  - Ning-Jing Yang
AU  - Xue-Jing Han
AU  - Jia-Hui Wang
AU  - Jia-Yi Yang
AU  - Wen Lv
AU  - Hong-Fei Liu
AU  - Li-Ming Cui
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/14
JO  - Frontiers in Pharmacology
DO  - 10.3389/fphar.2026.1942002
UR  - https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fphar.2026.1942002/full
AB  - Background: This study developed and validated an machine-learning-based radiomics model integrating tumor habitat radiomics, peritumoral radiomics, and clinical features to predict progression-free survival (PFS) following repeat transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).  Methods: This retrospective multicenter study included 270 patients with HCC. Patients from Center 1 were assigned to training (n = 94) and internal validation (n = 41) cohorts, while Centers 2 (n = 82) and 3 (n = 53) served as external validation cohorts. Tumor habitats and 5-mm peritumoral regions were generated from contrast-enhanced CT images. Radiomics features were selected using univariate Cox and LASSO-Cox regression. A fusion model and HPC risk score were constructed by integrating selected radiomics signatures and clinical variables. Performance was assessed using time-dependent ROC, C-index, calibration, decision curve analysis, and Kaplan–Meier analyses.  Results: The optimal habitat cluster number was K = 2. Eleven habitat features, three peritumoral features, and alpha-fetoprotein were retained in the fusion model. The model achieved AUCs of 0.923, 0.921, and 0.897 for 3-, 6-, and 9-month progression-free survival in the training cohort, and 0.932, 0.863, and 0.916 in the internal validation cohort, respectively; all external AUCs exceeded 0.82. The fusion model showed higher C-index values than the clinical model across cohorts. High-risk patients had significantly shorter PFS than low-risk patients (all P < 0.001). Calibration and decision curve analyses demonstrated good agreement and clinical utility.  Conclusion: The CT-based fusion model and HPC risk score effectively predicted progression risk in HCC.
SN  - 1663-9812
ER  -