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PreprintCC BYbioRxiv

LOTUS: lineage-aware optimal transport reconstructs continuous clonal fate dynamics

  1. 1Center for Quantitative Biology, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China. Center for Machine Learning Research, Peking University. AI for Science Institute, B

Abstract

Destructive sampling in single-cell sequencing obscures ancestor-descendant relationships, limiting the continuous reconstruction of cell-fate dynamics. Here we present Lineage-aware optimal transport for unbalanced single-cell dynamics (LOTUS), a framework that integrates time-resolved transcriptomic snapshots with clonal lineage information from engineered barcodes or endogenous T cell receptor clonotypes. LOTUS couples clone-level optimal transport with neural unbalanced transport to model continuous cellular state change, population growth and clonal propagation under lineage-consistent constraints. In branching simulations, LOTUS reduced lineage-inconsistent transport relative to benchmark methods, lowering off-target routing from 4.94-14.84% to 1.10%. On LARRY lineage-barcode scRNA-seq of hematopoiesis, LOTUS reconstructed branching trajectories, improved early neutrophil-monocyte fate-boundary prediction, and inferred multi-fate progenitors and fate-biased meta-clones, linking their distinct fate potentials to inferred epigenetic priming. On CellTagging scRNA-seq of fibroblast reprogramming, it distinguished reprogrammed from failed trajectories and prioritized fate-associated perturbation genes. In longitudinal scRNA-seq and TCR-seq of malaria-responsive memory (CD45RA-) CD4+ T cells, it preserved endogenous clonotype structure and reconstructed TR1 dynamics and regulatory networks. LOTUS thus converts lineage-resolved single-cell snapshots into interpretable, continuous models of fate dynamics and their regulatory programs.

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BibTeX
@misc{lu2026lotus,
  title = {{LOTUS: lineage-aware optimal transport reconstructs continuous clonal fate dynamics}},
  author = {J. Lu and H. Hou and Z. Zhang and Y. Lin and Y. Lin and P. Zhou},
  howpublished = {bioRxiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.64898/2026.10.28.762359},
  url = {https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.10.28.762359v1},
  note = {CC BY},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - LOTUS: lineage-aware optimal transport reconstructs continuous clonal fate dynamics
AU  - J. Lu
AU  - H. Hou
AU  - Z. Zhang
AU  - Y. Lin
AU  - Y. Lin
AU  - P. Zhou
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/28
PB  - bioRxiv
DO  - 10.64898/2026.10.28.762359
UR  - https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.10.28.762359v1
AB  - Destructive sampling in single-cell sequencing obscures ancestor-descendant relationships, limiting the continuous reconstruction of cell-fate dynamics. Here we present Lineage-aware optimal transport for unbalanced single-cell dynamics (LOTUS), a framework that integrates time-resolved transcriptomic snapshots with clonal lineage information from engineered barcodes or endogenous T cell receptor clonotypes. LOTUS couples clone-level optimal transport with neural unbalanced transport to model continuous cellular state change, population growth and clonal propagation under lineage-consistent constraints. In branching simulations, LOTUS reduced lineage-inconsistent transport relative to benchmark methods, lowering off-target routing from 4.94-14.84% to 1.10%. On LARRY lineage-barcode scRNA-seq of hematopoiesis, LOTUS reconstructed branching trajectories, improved early neutrophil-monocyte fate-boundary prediction, and inferred multi-fate progenitors and fate-biased meta-clones, linking their distinct fate potentials to inferred epigenetic priming. On CellTagging scRNA-seq of fibroblast reprogramming, it distinguished reprogrammed from failed trajectories and prioritized fate-associated perturbation genes. In longitudinal scRNA-seq and TCR-seq of malaria-responsive memory (CD45RA-) CD4+ T cells, it preserved endogenous clonotype structure and reconstructed TR1 dynamics and regulatory networks. LOTUS thus converts lineage-resolved single-cell snapshots into interpretable, continuous models of fate dynamics and their regulatory programs.
ER  -