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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Frontiers in Immunology

Long COVID shows IL-1 pathway dysregulation without a discrete circulating biomarker signature

15 more authors
15 affiliations
  1. 1IrsiCaixa
  2. 2ISGlobal
  3. 3Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Universitat de Barcelona (UB)
  4. 4Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC), Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII)
  5. 5Germans Trias i Pujol Research Institute (IGTP)
  6. 6Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad San Sebastián
  7. 7Biomedicine Doctoral Programme, Faculty of Biology, University of Barcelona (UB)
  8. 8Infectious Diseases Department, Germans Trias i Pujol Hospital
  9. 9Fight Against Infections Foundation
  10. 10Chair in Infectious Diseases and Immunity, Centre for Health and Social Care Research (CESS), Faculty of Medicine, University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia (UVic-UCC)
  11. 11Spanish Long COVID Research Network (REiCOP)
  12. 12Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP)
  13. 13Center for Global Health and Diseases, Department of Pathology, Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine
  14. 14Department of Infectious Diseases and Immunity, University of Vic-Central University of Catalonia (UVic-UCC)
  15. 15CaixaResearch Institute, “la Caixa” Foundation

Abstract

Introduction: Long COVID (LC) is characterized by persistent and, often, disabling symptoms, yet its biological basis remains unclear. Multiple mechanisms, including immune dysregulation, endothelial dysfunction, and persistence of SARS-CoV-2 components, have been proposed, although it is unknown whether these define distinct biological subtypes or overlapping processes.

Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 312 individuals, including 139 people with LC (PWLC), 99 COVID-19-recovered controls (both groups sampled a median of 8 months after primary SARS-CoV-2 infection), and 74 uninfected controls, from an unvaccinated population, thereby minimizing major sources of biological and epidemiological variability. Circulating immune and endothelial biomarkers and plasma SARS-CoV-2 RNA were assessed, together with serological signatures associated with herpesvirus reactivation and SARS-CoV-2-specific humoral responses. Associations with symptom persistence were analyzed using multivariable models and machine learning approaches.

Results: Most soluble biomarker differences primarily distinguished previously infected individuals from uninfected controls rather than PWLC from recovered participants. Increased IL-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1RA) levels, together with reduced IL-1β/IL-1RA ratios, were the immune alterations most strongly associated with LC, while P-selectin was the endothelial marker showing a suggestive association with symptom persistence. Plasma SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected at low and comparable frequencies in PWLC and recovered individuals, while Ct values tended to be lower among RNA-positive PWLC not reaching statistical difference. Epstein-Barr virus serological profiles were characterized by lower latency- and higher reactivation-associated responses in PWLC, whereas SARS-CoV-2-specific antibody levels were comparable between groups. Integrated biomarker profiles discriminated prior infection more effectively than LC status, and expansion to multimodal predictors did not clearly improve discrimination between PWLC and recovered participants.

Discussion: Overall, LC was associated with overlapping immune, endothelial, and virological alterations rather than discrete biomarker-defined subtypes.

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BibTeX
@article{munozlopez2026long,
  title = {{Long COVID shows IL-1 pathway dysregulation without a discrete circulating biomarker signature}},
  author = {Francisco Muñoz-López and Marissa Flores-Santamaría and Rebeca Santano and Macedonia Trigueros and Eva Riveira-Muñoz and Sara Cabrero de las Heras and Gooya Banaei and Edwards Pradenas and Benjamin Trinité and Silvia Marfil and Ana Gervassi and Víctor Urrea and Jon Izquierdo-Pujol and Cora Loste and José Ramón Santos and Gemma Lladós and Tomasso Francesco Aiello and Anna Chamorro and Alfons Jiménez and Carlota Dobaño and Roger Paredes and Julià Blanco and Ester Ballana and Gemma Moncunill and Lourdes Mateu and Maria Nevot and Marta Massanella},
  journal = {Frontiers in Immunology},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.3389/fimmu.2026.1957339},
  url = {https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2026.1957339/full},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - Long COVID shows IL-1 pathway dysregulation without a discrete circulating biomarker signature
AU  - Francisco Muñoz-López
AU  - Marissa Flores-Santamaría
AU  - Rebeca Santano
AU  - Macedonia Trigueros
AU  - Eva Riveira-Muñoz
AU  - Sara Cabrero de las Heras
AU  - Gooya Banaei
AU  - Edwards Pradenas
AU  - Benjamin Trinité
AU  - Silvia Marfil
AU  - Ana Gervassi
AU  - Víctor Urrea
AU  - Jon Izquierdo-Pujol
AU  - Cora Loste
AU  - José Ramón Santos
AU  - Gemma Lladós
AU  - Tomasso Francesco Aiello
AU  - Anna Chamorro
AU  - Alfons Jiménez
AU  - Carlota Dobaño
AU  - Roger Paredes
AU  - Julià Blanco
AU  - Ester Ballana
AU  - Gemma Moncunill
AU  - Lourdes Mateu
AU  - Maria Nevot
AU  - Marta Massanella
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/19
JO  - Frontiers in Immunology
DO  - 10.3389/fimmu.2026.1957339
UR  - https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2026.1957339/full
AB  - Introduction: Long COVID (LC) is characterized by persistent and, often, disabling symptoms, yet its biological basis remains unclear. Multiple mechanisms, including immune dysregulation, endothelial dysfunction, and persistence of SARS-CoV-2 components, have been proposed, although it is unknown whether these define distinct biological subtypes or overlapping processes.  Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 312 individuals, including 139 people with LC (PWLC), 99 COVID-19-recovered controls (both groups sampled a median of 8 months after primary SARS-CoV-2 infection), and 74 uninfected controls, from an unvaccinated population, thereby minimizing major sources of biological and epidemiological variability. Circulating immune and endothelial biomarkers and plasma SARS-CoV-2 RNA were assessed, together with serological signatures associated with herpesvirus reactivation and SARS-CoV-2-specific humoral responses. Associations with symptom persistence were analyzed using multivariable models and machine learning approaches.  Results: Most soluble biomarker differences primarily distinguished previously infected individuals from uninfected controls rather than PWLC from recovered participants. Increased IL-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1RA) levels, together with reduced IL-1β/IL-1RA ratios, were the immune alterations most strongly associated with LC, while P-selectin was the endothelial marker showing a suggestive association with symptom persistence. Plasma SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected at low and comparable frequencies in PWLC and recovered individuals, while Ct values tended to be lower among RNA-positive PWLC not reaching statistical difference. Epstein-Barr virus serological profiles were characterized by lower latency- and higher reactivation-associated responses in PWLC, whereas SARS-CoV-2-specific antibody levels were comparable between groups. Integrated biomarker profiles discriminated prior infection more effectively than LC status, and expansion to multimodal predictors did not clearly improve discrimination between PWLC and recovered participants.  Discussion: Overall, LC was associated with overlapping immune, endothelial, and virological alterations rather than discrete biomarker-defined subtypes.
SN  - 1664-3224
ER  -