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Peer-reviewedCC BY 4.0Hydrology and Earth System Sciences

The influence of vapor pressure deficit changes on global terrestrial evapotranspiration

  1. 1Northwest Normal University (Lanzhou, China)

Abstract

Vapor pressure deficit (VPD) has been widely recognized as a key driver of uncertainty in future global evapotranspiration ( E ) trends. Accurately characterizing the spatiotemporal dynamics of VPD and elucidating its influence on terrestrial E are critical for understanding land–atmosphere water and energy feedback processes under climate warming. However, previous studies have largely focused on the physiological regulation of plant transpiration ( E t ) at the leaf or canopy scale, leaving the quantitative understanding of VPD– E interactions at the global scale incomplete. By integrating multi-source remote sensing products and reanalysis datasets, this study quantitatively evaluates the role of VPD in regulating global terrestrial E variability. The main findings are as follows: (1) Approximately 60.7 % of global land area exhibits positive apparent sensitivity of E to VPD, with a global mean sensitivity of 293.3±62.3 mm hPa ⁻¹ , and stronger responses observed in warm and humid regions. (2) VPD is positively correlated with E t overall, particularly in mid-to-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, whereas its correlation with bare soil evaporation ( E b ) is weaker and tends to be negative in water-limited regions. (3) The VPD– E relationship exhibits a pronounced aridity-dependent threshold, which decreases progressively from arid (1.90 kPa) and semi-arid (1.46 kPa) regions to semi-humid (0.49 kPa) and humid (0.47 kPa) regions. Further path analysis reveals that VPD regulates E through interconnected pathways involving atmospheric demand, soil moisture, vegetation physiology, and energy supply, with an overall negative net effect on E . This study clarifies the dominant pathways and regional heterogeneity of VPD– E interactions at the global scale, providing quantitative constraints for predicting the response of the terrestrial water cycle to increasing atmospheric aridity.

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BibTeX
@article{miao2026influence,
  title = {{The influence of vapor pressure deficit changes on global terrestrial evapotranspiration}},
  author = {Yuxin Miao and Guofeng Zhu and Yuhao Wang and Enwei Huang and Qingyang Wang and Yani Gun and Zhijie Zheng and Jiangwei Yang and Wenmin Li and Ziwen Liu},
  journal = {Hydrology and Earth System Sciences},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.5194/hess-30-6249-2026},
  url = {https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/30/6249/2026/},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - JOUR
TI  - The influence of vapor pressure deficit changes on global terrestrial evapotranspiration
AU  - Yuxin Miao
AU  - Guofeng Zhu
AU  - Yuhao Wang
AU  - Enwei Huang
AU  - Qingyang Wang
AU  - Yani Gun
AU  - Zhijie Zheng
AU  - Jiangwei Yang
AU  - Wenmin Li
AU  - Ziwen Liu
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/09
JO  - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
DO  - 10.5194/hess-30-6249-2026
UR  - https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/30/6249/2026/
AB  - Vapor pressure deficit (VPD) has been widely recognized as a key driver of uncertainty in future global evapotranspiration ( E ) trends. Accurately characterizing the spatiotemporal dynamics of VPD and elucidating its influence on terrestrial E are critical for understanding land–atmosphere water and energy feedback processes under climate warming. However, previous studies have largely focused on the physiological regulation of plant transpiration ( E t ) at the leaf or canopy scale, leaving the quantitative understanding of VPD– E interactions at the global scale incomplete. By integrating multi-source remote sensing products and reanalysis datasets, this study quantitatively evaluates the role of VPD in regulating global terrestrial E variability. The main findings are as follows: (1) Approximately 60.7 % of global land area exhibits positive apparent sensitivity of E to VPD, with a global mean sensitivity of 293.3±62.3 mm hPa ⁻¹ , and stronger responses observed in warm and humid regions. (2) VPD is positively correlated with E t overall, particularly in mid-to-high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, whereas its correlation with bare soil evaporation ( E b ) is weaker and tends to be negative in water-limited regions. (3) The VPD– E relationship exhibits a pronounced aridity-dependent threshold, which decreases progressively from arid (1.90 kPa) and semi-arid (1.46 kPa) regions to semi-humid (0.49 kPa) and humid (0.47 kPa) regions. Further path analysis reveals that VPD regulates E through interconnected pathways involving atmospheric demand, soil moisture, vegetation physiology, and energy supply, with an overall negative net effect on E . This study clarifies the dominant pathways and regional heterogeneity of VPD– E interactions at the global scale, providing quantitative constraints for predicting the response of the terrestrial water cycle to increasing atmospheric aridity.
SN  - 1607-7938
ER  -