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PreprintarXiv licencearXiv

Save 2050: A Planetary-Scale Collective Prediction System for the Singularity Crisis

Abstract

The Anthropocene mode of development is driving civilization toward a "singularity crisis": artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly approaching general intelligence (AGI) with escalating risks of losing control, while unrestrained economic growth generates super-exponential growth of entropy production that pushes the Earth system toward its tipping points. This paper proposes the "Save 2050" initiative: a distributed planetary-scale collective prediction system that aggregates judgments about the future from humans and AI through open registration, crowdsourcing, and incentive mechanisms, and integrates them via large-scale simulation into inspectable "predicted worlds," enabling humanity to systematically \emph{see} the future for the first time. We argue for the initiative's feasibility along four dimensions---the maturation of AI forecasting, human collective intelligence and the institutional environment, supporting progress in related fields, and societal demand. We then identify three key enabling technologies: long-horizon automated resolution, simulation-based prediction aggregation, and reflexivity governance. We analyze potential risks---including reflexivity, cognitive monoculture, narrative capture, and regulatory and ethical concerns---together with mitigation strategies, and we outline a phased roadmap with open problems. The initiative's primary goal is not to intervene in the future, but to make the future visible, discussable, and co-writable.

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BibTeX
@misc{zhang2026save,
  title = {{Save 2050: A Planetary-Scale Collective Prediction System for the Singularity Crisis}},
  author = {Jiang Zhang and Bing Yuan and Qian Zhang},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = aug,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2608.28703},
  eprint = {2608.28703},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.28703},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Save 2050: A Planetary-Scale Collective Prediction System for the Singularity Crisis
AU  - Jiang Zhang
AU  - Bing Yuan
AU  - Qian Zhang
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/08/27
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2608.28703
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.28703
AB  - The Anthropocene mode of development is driving civilization toward a "singularity crisis": artificial intelligence (AI) is rapidly approaching general intelligence (AGI) with escalating risks of losing control, while unrestrained economic growth generates super-exponential growth of entropy production that pushes the Earth system toward its tipping points. This paper proposes the "Save 2050" initiative: a distributed planetary-scale collective prediction system that aggregates judgments about the future from humans and AI through open registration, crowdsourcing, and incentive mechanisms, and integrates them via large-scale simulation into inspectable "predicted worlds," enabling humanity to systematically \emph{see} the future for the first time. We argue for the initiative's feasibility along four dimensions---the maturation of AI forecasting, human collective intelligence and the institutional environment, supporting progress in related fields, and societal demand. We then identify three key enabling technologies: long-horizon automated resolution, simulation-based prediction aggregation, and reflexivity governance. We analyze potential risks---including reflexivity, cognitive monoculture, narrative capture, and regulatory and ethical concerns---together with mitigation strategies, and we outline a phased roadmap with open problems. The initiative's primary goal is not to intervene in the future, but to make the future visible, discussable, and co-writable.
ER  -