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PreprintCC BY-NC-SA 4.0arXiv

Learning multistate kinetics with a variational multistate committor network

Abstract

The long-time dynamics of complex molecular systems often involves rare transitions across networks of metastable states. Building on transition-path theory, which provides a rigorous framework for describing rare transitions between two metastable states, we introduce the variational multistate committor network (VMCN), a neural framework that learns the probabilities of reaching each metastable state directly from molecular simulation data. From this representation, VMCN identifies state-specific commitment, candidate transition regions and committor-consistent pathways between state pairs, and an effective kinetic network characterized by transition rates. The model is trained using finite time-lag trajectory data together with boundary conditions defined on conservative state cores. Applications to a triple-well potential, trialanine isomerization, and the c--ring rotation in the Vo domain of a vacuolar ATPase show that VMCN recovers metastable organization, provides committor-consistent descriptions of transition mechanisms, and estimates state-to-state kinetics. VMCN further provides diagnostics for incomplete state decompositions and enables adaptive exploration of candidate metastable states and their connecting regions. By integrating VMCN with generative committor-guided path sampling (Gen-COMPAS) for chignolin, we start from two end point structures, identify a misfolded state and a candidate folding intermediate, and we direct subsequent sampling toward the resulting multistate transition network.

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BibTeX
@misc{tang2026learning,
  title = {{Learning multistate kinetics with a variational multistate committor network}},
  author = {Chenyu Tang and Cheng Giuseppe Chen and Benoît Roux and Christophe Chipot},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = sep,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2609.04449},
  eprint = {2609.04449},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.04449},
  note = {CC BY-NC-SA 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - Learning multistate kinetics with a variational multistate committor network
AU  - Chenyu Tang
AU  - Cheng Giuseppe Chen
AU  - Benoît Roux
AU  - Christophe Chipot
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/09/03
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2609.04449
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.04449
AB  - The long-time dynamics of complex molecular systems often involves rare transitions across networks of metastable states. Building on transition-path theory, which provides a rigorous framework for describing rare transitions between two metastable states, we introduce the variational multistate committor network (VMCN), a neural framework that learns the probabilities of reaching each metastable state directly from molecular simulation data. From this representation, VMCN identifies state-specific commitment, candidate transition regions and committor-consistent pathways between state pairs, and an effective kinetic network characterized by transition rates. The model is trained using finite time-lag trajectory data together with boundary conditions defined on conservative state cores. Applications to a triple-well potential, trialanine isomerization, and the c--ring rotation in the V_o domain of a vacuolar ATPase show that VMCN recovers metastable organization, provides committor-consistent descriptions of transition mechanisms, and estimates state-to-state kinetics. VMCN further provides diagnostics for incomplete state decompositions and enables adaptive exploration of candidate metastable states and their connecting regions. By integrating VMCN with generative committor-guided path sampling (Gen-COMPAS) for chignolin, we start from two end point structures, identify a misfolded state and a candidate folding intermediate, and we direct subsequent sampling toward the resulting multistate transition network.
ER  -