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PreprintCC BY 4.0arXiv

ASTRA: An Autonomous Framework for Physics-Validated Analysis and Hypothesis Generation in Astrophysics

Abstract

We present ASTRA, an autonomous framework for physics-validated analysis and hypothesis generation in astrophysics without per-step human intervention. It integrates dimensional analysis, structural causal models, Bayesian evidence computation, and multi-wavelength data fusion in a single automated workflow. Five test cases on real observational data recover known results: Herschel filament scaling, Chandra Deep Field South cross-matching, SDSS galaxy correlations, Gaia causal inference, and Bayesian virial model selection. A sixth case runs unsupervised on synthetic galaxy data. The main sequence and mass-metallicity relation are recovered, and the outlier detector, with a false-discovery-rate threshold and no contamination parameter, recovers the blind injected fraction on ten sealed datasets (purity > 0.99) and flags nothing on the 3,000-galaxy sample. A knowledge-isolation ablation shows pattern detection and physical validation are invariant to removal of domain knowledge, which affects only interpretation. In a direct comparison, agentic-LLM and pure-ML baselines match the statistical fitting but not the physics-validation stage. They rarely derive the equilibrium benchmark, split evenly on the physical verdict, and adopt a supplied erroneous benchmark in all six trap runs, an astrophysics-specific fine-tuned model completes zero of six runs. On live SDSS DR16 data it flags 197 of 4,999 galaxies at a data-determined threshold, ranked extremes classifiable from withheld spectroscopy. These are recovery validations and capability demonstrations rather than discoveries, with hypothesis generation demonstrated qualitatively.

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BibTeX
@misc{white2026astra,
  title = {{ASTRA: An Autonomous Framework for Physics-Validated Analysis and Hypothesis Generation in Astrophysics}},
  author = {Glenn J. White},
  howpublished = {arXiv},
  year = {2026},
  month = oct,
  doi = {10.48550/arxiv.2610.36144},
  eprint = {2610.36144},
  archivePrefix = {arXiv},
  url = {https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.36144},
  note = {CC BY 4.0},
}
RIS
TY  - UNPB
TI  - ASTRA: An Autonomous Framework for Physics-Validated Analysis and Hypothesis Generation in Astrophysics
AU  - Glenn J. White
PY  - 2026
DA  - 2026/10/26
PB  - arXiv
DO  - 10.48550/arxiv.2610.36144
UR  - https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.36144
AB  - We present ASTRA, an autonomous framework for physics-validated analysis and hypothesis generation in astrophysics without per-step human intervention. It integrates dimensional analysis, structural causal models, Bayesian evidence computation, and multi-wavelength data fusion in a single automated workflow. Five test cases on real observational data recover known results: Herschel filament scaling, Chandra Deep Field South cross-matching, SDSS galaxy correlations, Gaia causal inference, and Bayesian virial model selection. A sixth case runs unsupervised on synthetic galaxy data. The main sequence and mass-metallicity relation are recovered, and the outlier detector, with a false-discovery-rate threshold and no contamination parameter, recovers the blind injected fraction on ten sealed datasets (purity > 0.99) and flags nothing on the 3,000-galaxy sample. A knowledge-isolation ablation shows pattern detection and physical validation are invariant to removal of domain knowledge, which affects only interpretation. In a direct comparison, agentic-LLM and pure-ML baselines match the statistical fitting but not the physics-validation stage. They rarely derive the equilibrium benchmark, split evenly on the physical verdict, and adopt a supplied erroneous benchmark in all six trap runs, an astrophysics-specific fine-tuned model completes zero of six runs. On live SDSS DR16 data it flags 197 of 4,999 galaxies at a data-determined threshold, ranked extremes classifiable from withheld spectroscopy. These are recovery validations and capability demonstrations rather than discoveries, with hypothesis generation demonstrated qualitatively.
ER  -